Pricing Butterfly Spreads

Discussion in 'Options' started by oldmonk, Jul 31, 2018.

  1. sle

    sle

    Had to look that up, actually :)

    You can think of two separate types of flies. One case is where you are (synthetically or outright) trade OTM/2 x ATM/OTM, which is more or less just a bet on where the underlying will end up. You are a net seller of volatility and buyer of wings.

    Another case (which we are discussing) is when you trade ATM/2 x OTM/OTM, so the whole fly is actually sitting to one side. You are buying ATM volatility in this case and (mostly) selling the wings.
     
    #21     Aug 1, 2018
    Adam777 and oldmonk like this.
  2. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    RUT 121 1300/1500/1700 OCT 19. This is long gamma and theta "the ultimate freebee"LOL. If there was more liquidity in the DOTM puts I could see you implementing this strategy. Would you say the more vega the merrier?
     
    #22     Aug 1, 2018
  3. sle

    sle

    Well, it depends on how comfortable you are with it's ratio to gamma :)

    PS. I just got home and lit up, so not sure I am up for a coherent discussion of anything
     
    #23     Aug 2, 2018
  4. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    LOL cheers. Have a good night Santa. But tomorrow lets get into calculating the PnL for this trade. Being short vega and long gamma is a little confusing.
     
    #24     Aug 2, 2018
  5. marameo

    marameo

    #25     Aug 2, 2018
  6. samuel11

    samuel11

    #26     Aug 2, 2018
  7. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Okay I am trying this long gamma and theta short vega trade out. 231 155/159/167 Put fly on IWM @ 1.41. Expiration Aug 17.
    Greeks per 1 Fly
    Gamma = 2.1
    Theta = 2.2
    Vega = -1.1
    Delta = -32

    I am Long 32 IWM per fly @166.26.
     
    Last edited: Aug 2, 2018
    #27     Aug 2, 2018
    .sigma likes this.
  8. TheBigShort

    TheBigShort

    Usually my expected PnL is Vega*(IV - RV) BUT i am almost vega neutral. My PnL is baiscally all skew, so I am not to sure what the simple way is to calculate my EV.
     
    #28     Aug 2, 2018
  9. samuel11

    samuel11

    Maybe do this calculation for each leg of the fly
     
    #29     Aug 2, 2018
  10. DD2018

    DD2018

    Why the 2-3-1 put fly and not the 1-3-2? If you're just targeting to profit from vol skew wouldn't it make more sense to long weight the cheaper side of the skew more?

    Also how would you plan to manage the trade on a IWM rally next week?
     
    #30     Aug 4, 2018