Use an: "if nothings wrong, don't fix it approach." So far all the chat on this thread is one sided. You have to look outside of these boundaries. Patterns form as a consequence of change. Instead of looking at the patterns, look at what causes change. Having that down, you can then examine the "how" of the causes. This shows you the "trap". The trap is the positive feedback loop that sustains very limited change. Since making money is based on perfecting extracting all the potential changes can offer, you need to examine primarily: 1. when causes of change work and 2, when the "how" of the causes fail to work. Failure is the clue. The set of answers turns out to be mostly related to the conjunction of several "hows" meeting up at the same time. Combined failure. A simple illustration is the "perfect storm" kind of thing. One of the posters has gotten to the weather metaphor at this point. That demonstrates that he is at least more open than most when it comes to checking stuff out. On the other hand, he still does not know when he is examining things on only one side of the problem. So far when he extrapolates he "goes away" from optimum instead of going towards it. The example most appropriate is the Laffler family of curves and Reagan's staff for optimizing taxation. They went the wrong way too and turned the US from the most prosperous nation to the greatest debtor nation. There may be a chance that this thread could move to the center of the opportunity; it is a very large one that is mostly untapped at this point.