Price or return correlation?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Sergio77, Jan 24, 2016.

  1. Sergio77

    Sergio77

  2. K-Pia

    K-Pia

    Hope it helps. http://www.portfolioprobe.com/2011/01/12/the-number-1-novice-quant-mistake/

    Quote from the author:
    "Whether prices follow a random walk or not is not the issue — what matters is that there is dependence between prices at different times.

    You need to ask yourself: Is the statistical technique I’m using assuming that the observations are independently distributed?

    If the answer is “yes”, then you need to use returns and not prices. Techniques in this category include regression, standard error of the mean, …

    If the answer is “no”, then you are free to use prices. Techniques in this category include some smoothers, seasonal decomposition, …"
     
    Last edited: Jan 24, 2016
  3. Sergio77

    Sergio77

    Thanks. I suppose that first differences remove any dependence and trend.