Price Action - NQ II

Discussion in 'Journals' started by lajax, Mar 13, 2015.

  1. lajax

    lajax

    March 6th

    Prep - Context

    daily 1.png

    daily 2.png

    Plan the trades.

    Plan the trades 1.png

    Trades
    Red dot: Short
    Green dot: Long
    Black dot: Exit


    Trades.png



    Note: The last four days, it's been difficult to trade RET, however in some cases is the type of days for reversals.

    So far the net result of March is -1,25 (4 days)
     
    #61     Apr 3, 2015
  2. lajax

    lajax

    March 7th

    Prep - Context

    daily 1.png

    daily 2.png

    Plan the trades.


    Plan the trades 1.png

    Plan the trades 2.png

    Trades
    Red dot: Short
    Green dot: Long
    Black dot: Exit


    Trades.png


    Trade Point of view

    In the first trade, the price do what is expected to do (confirmed the RET), however the trade was discarded because the price reversed by more than the 50% of the fall and even went above one tick of the previous high (Stopped the trade, if it had been open)

    PA Point of view

    However, from the Price action Point of view, the traders confirmed their willingness to start a downward movement (RET confirmed), and his intention remained, because despite the fact the SL was spike it was not broken. Notwithstanding, of all this action I was out of the market and the fall that came after really hurts me :mad:
     
    #62     Apr 3, 2015
  3. lajax

    lajax

    March 10th

    Prep - Context

    daily 1.png

    daily 2.png

    Plan the trades.


    Plan the trades 1.png

    Plan the trades 2.png

    Trades
    Red dot: Short
    Green dot: Long
    Black dot: Exit


    Trades.png

    So far is important to have in mind the next aspects in order to include them in the trading plan:

    - Understand the Preliminar support after the BO of the TR/Observe how many times this happened

    - Plan a reentry strategy when the PA is still showing the hand of the market, but the trade was stopped out because it was in a position that was affected because of the phenomena of the prices. eg a preliminar support.
     
    #63     Apr 4, 2015
  4. lajax

    lajax

    March 11th

    Prep - Context

    daily 1.png

    daily 2.png

    Plan the trades.


    Plan the trades 1.png


    Trades
    Red dot: Short
    Green dot: Long
    Black dot: Exit


    Trades.png
     
    #64     Apr 4, 2015
  5. lajax

    lajax

    March 11th

    Prep - Context

    daily 1.png

    Plan the trades.


    Plan the trades 1.png

    Plan the trades 2.png

    Trades
    Red dot: Short
    Green dot: Long
    Black dot: Exit


    Trades.png
     
    #65     Apr 4, 2015
  6. lajax

    lajax

    March 13th

    Prep - Context

    daily 1.png

    daily 2.png

    Plan the trades.


    Plan the trades 1.png

    Plan the trades 2.png

    Trades
    Red dot: Short
    Green dot: Long
    Black dot: Exit


    Trades.png


    Note: At the second chart of the "Plan the trades", the S should be drawn around 3711
     
    #66     Apr 4, 2015
  7. lajax

    lajax

    With this day I've finished 99 trades. Tomorrow I will be posting the statistics and the results.
     
    #67     Apr 4, 2015
  8. lajax

    lajax

    I would like to know what indicators are usually use in order to measure the performance an strategy?
     
    #68     Apr 5, 2015
  9. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    The indicators? None. But you are now in a position to answer your questions with data rather than opinion, whether yours or others'. I'm sure there are other, unanticipated questions which arose during the process, but this is one of the chief advantages of the process. For example, you can now determine, or begin to, the importance of the PDH and PDL, the ONH and ONL, various past swing points in various intervals and so forth. You can determine whether or not they are important only in terms of where price is most likely to stall or in terms of potential reversal levels. And though you're not interested in REVs per se right now, the RETs that occur after the REV will be of interest.

    I suggest you begin by reviewing your original questions and restating them one two three. Then also list those questions that arose during your testing, such as why did price turn at that particular level and not some other? Why did a particular exit turn out to be premature? Keeping in mind that all charts are tick charts, how best can you choreograph the "views" of for example the 1m and 5m and 60m so that you are in continuous synch with the market? When for example does a swing point on the 1m become important even though it's not visible on the 5m? When can it be only acknowledged and when must it be acted upon?

    When RETs are actionable has been a challenge to Dunnigan, Ross, Douglas and others, as well as Wyckoff, so you are in good company. Don't be discouraged by the puzzlement. And ask yourself periodically whether or not you are throwing virgins into the volcano. This stage is particularly fertile for drawing incorrect conclusions and setting off in the wrong direction.
     
    #69     Apr 5, 2015
  10. lajax

    lajax


    Ok Db, for now I will follow your advice and make a review of the process so far.

    Once again thank you for reviewing my work and for your time.
     
    #70     Apr 5, 2015