PreEarnings Trade NTRI Long

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by chuckles, Jul 24, 2006.

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  1. Your cmgi example is correct. None of these stocks have risen 2000% in 18 months.
     
    #31     Jul 25, 2006
  2. Check your premises.
     
    #32     Jul 25, 2006
  3. I have. Tell me what 18 month period you are looking at because I sure can't find it.
     
    #33     Jul 25, 2006
  4. QCOM traded at $52.25 on Jan. 4th, 1999.
    It split 2:1 on May 11, 1999
    It split again, 4:1 on Dec 31, 1999
    It traded up to $200 on Jan 3rd, 2000.

    That's a gain of over 3000%, in 12 months.

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=QCOM&a=00&b=1&c=1999&d=00&e=26&f=2000&g=d

    You should have checked your premises before wasting my time.
     
    #34     Jul 25, 2006
  5. You wasted my time by posting three other stocks that did not rise 2000%

    Qcom's rise was 2491.04 percent not 3000.
     
    #35     Jul 25, 2006

  6. <i>HolyGrail has been added to your ignore list.</i>
     
    #36     Jul 25, 2006
  7. Oh the tears coming out of my eyes right now. Please, anything but ignore. What will I do? Where will I go?
     
    #37     Jul 25, 2006
  8. #38     Jul 25, 2006
  9. I found a more recent example and posted it right after my first post about the 2000%. The point is it is rare. The point is they later fall. The point is the stock was priced to perfection, and it may not be a good idea to buy a stock up 2087% and gapping down after earnings. I guess it was more important for you to find stocks than to get the point.
     
    #39     Jul 25, 2006
  10. Although you have identified a real inefficiency (investors do tend to have excessive confidence in he extension of past fundamental trends), I wouldn't consider good past results by themselves to be a sufficient condition for a short position of meaningful size.

    It's also important to note that stocks - even when very overvalued - can continue to rise dramatically. XLA for example.
     
    #40     Jul 26, 2006
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