Predicting is ***Unavoidable***

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by aeliodon, Mar 5, 2007.

  1. The forward test of the last 2 years or so, did not agree with your bactest results. Do you want to take a guess as to which EQ curve it did agree with? Do you want to guess what conditions it used??? Here's a hint... The EQ curve of the forward tes was positive and in several cases, the 2 year forward test results were better than the positive EQ curve of the backtest using portfolios with conditions recommended by the original author of both the document and wealthlab code you used.
     
    #401     Mar 20, 2007
  2. jem

    jem

    Put it this way if a trader had the experience or the promised tool from spydy to avoid chop, I suspect attempting to put trendline frame work over index movement might work if you are displined and get filled. However, this would be on longer term charts.

    But, that is the very trick of trading. Distinguishing the times when your framework works from when it doesn't.

    So far I have seen nothing of any edge value from any Hershey dude.

    If spydertrader really has a chop tool which allow us to know ahead of time when we can buy pullbacks vs when we fade thrusts, I will name my mansion after him.
     
    #402     Mar 20, 2007
  3. Go back and and think hard... it obviously went over your head.

     
    #403     Mar 20, 2007
  4. I've already answered this here:
    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=1404113#post1404113
     
    #404     Mar 20, 2007
  5. Scroll down mon ami... DOWN as in your backtest EQ curve!
     
    #405     Mar 20, 2007
  6. #406     Mar 20, 2007

  7. regardless of the rest of JH's posts--the above is CLASSIC, fantastic statement--- wonderful!

    surf
     
    #407     Mar 20, 2007
  8. How soon you forget that which you witnessed with your own eyes and posted to your own thread.

    - Spydertrader
     
    #408     Mar 20, 2007
  9. nkhoi

    nkhoi

    it's called selective memory/selective reasoning.
     
    #409     Mar 20, 2007

  10. spy, im not being sarcastic.

    thats one of the best, most succinct and powerful statements i have ever read regarding trading

    surf
     
    #410     Mar 20, 2007