Predicting is ***Unavoidable***

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by aeliodon, Mar 5, 2007.

  1. 1) So how did your backtest get a different result from another backtest which used the same code? CLEARLY IT WAS YOUR INPUTS!

    2) Disagree. When you have what you consider to be a complete picture of how things work, wouldn't it make sense to be prepared to time when those things occurred? So here is yet another prediction! THere will be at least a long and short trade today in the S&P futures. This prediction will be 100% accurate. This prediction is useless without timing... See 1 again!

    3) And what would you suggest??? A backtest??? It will be complete in 29 years 355 days...
     
    #211     Mar 15, 2007
  2. Live calls? I would settle for one of these. Trivially easy to post. But scary to do.
     
    #212     Mar 15, 2007
  3. And where were you prior to March 2007 (the point at which you joined these boards)? Go check the chatroom logs. There are a few days worth around...
     
    #213     Mar 15, 2007
  4. Being that you are NEW to ET, there is a SEARCH feature in the top RIGHT. You can get started there and work your way from there... You can do most things yourself in ET. WELCOME!
     
    #214     Mar 15, 2007
  5. 19 posts and trolling along... SUPERB!
     
    #215     Mar 15, 2007
  6. "Seek and ye shall find". "Don't seek and ye shall not find"!

    20... Your count is moving up mon frere.
     
    #216     Mar 15, 2007
  7. Gunder. Keep him distracted. He's posting, not trading. And there's gonna be a BO any minute now! But his price display is blanked per orders from Jack, so he can't see it!
     
    #217     Mar 15, 2007
  8. All this does is prove even more that you have no idea what you're talking about. You admit that the execution of trades is random but then claim it doesn't randomly affect price which you then "establish" with a diagram of a temporarily unchanged bid & ask! LOL! This from the one who claims to understand stochastic processes? ROTFLMAO!!!!!

     
    #218     Mar 15, 2007
  9. My backtests were missing several things: lies and a need to believe.

     
    #219     Mar 15, 2007
  10. You certainly are a dedicated little Grobian groveler, aren't you? First, you AGAIN evaded answering why Jack's "Tommorrow's Paper Today" manifesto on the "P,V Boolean relation" (which is still central to his view of the markets) advocates prediction yet all of you now are saying the opposite.

    As for #s 1 and 3, you could easily prove me wrong with hard PROOF of your boastful, childish claims. But I won't hold my breath waiting...

     
    #220     Mar 15, 2007