Practicality of Fibonacci Retracements

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Raul641, Mar 13, 2007.

Fibonacci retracements...

  1. Excellent! One of my favorite tools.

    40 vote(s)
    30.8%
  2. They're useful sometimes.

    38 vote(s)
    29.2%
  3. Tea Leaves!

    43 vote(s)
    33.1%
  4. What's a Fibonacci retracement?

    9 vote(s)
    6.9%
  1. The real problem squall, is that they don't have a tendency to work at all. I went over a very good study of Fib levels done bgy others years ago, and the fact is they don't work. in any way. at all. They are no better than any other level.

    People keep believing in them and other things, but they have no basis or reason for this. They just figure they must work because others say they do. They figure they become a self-fulfilling prophecy, but they don't, in actuality.
     
    #71     Jun 27, 2007
  2. Like I said I use them everyday and like them. Honestly, objectively, there is subjectivity in where to draw them. Sure, a swing hi or lo, but which one, there are many on 10 min chart? That's what taken me 6 months of study and practice to get decent at.

    Agreed it's no different than any other TA, take basic S/R. I know 4 valid ways to draw S/R, excluding fib, which all work at one time or another. :cool:
     
    #72     Jun 27, 2007
  3. squall

    squall

    Fair enough, I see your point. I just use them as a form of s/r and if it starts burying me, then I will re-evaluate.
     
    #73     Jun 27, 2007
  4. Smart guy. You will get farther using things that work than things people believe in
     
    #74     Jun 27, 2007
  5. jem

    jem

    many people say support resistance numbers don't work. Yet the fed says they do "work" in the currency markets.

    Before you can say they do not work you would have to do at least as through investigation as the fed did.
     
    #75     Jun 28, 2007
  6. squall

    squall

    Yeah you're right, if they don't work, then it must be a HUGE coincidene, because it's almost uncanny how often price will keep bouncing off the same levels if you look at a chart.
     
    #76     Jun 28, 2007
  7. squall

    squall

    Yeah I figure as long as I see price reacting to the levels for whatever reason...I am gonna react as well.....
     
    #77     Jun 28, 2007
  8. gnome

    gnome

    For those who claim, "Fibs don't work"... I suggest you are trying to apply them too broadly.

    There are some chart "situations"* where Fibs work very well. If you restrict your usage to those, you'll be very pleased.

    * I COULD tell what some of those are, but I'm not. If you put on your thinking cap, you can find some.. :D
     
    #78     Jun 28, 2007
  9. squall

    squall


    Come on Gnome let's hear it.

    :cool:
     
    #79     Jun 28, 2007
  10. gnome

    gnome

    Reminds me of the Howard Borden classic comment... when asked, "How DID you ever get to be a navigator, Howard?", and he replied, "Oh no you don't, you'll have to go flight school just like I did".... :D

    I remind you of a famous Mr. Spock quote... "When all other possibilities have been eliminated, whatever remains (however implausible it seems) MUST be the truth"... trading is like that. :D
     
    #80     Jun 28, 2007