MED puts have huge b/a so cannot accurately price current cal at the moment.... but stock has slipped to 212...
Vols came in hard to 65%/69% and stock is @ $34.95. Calendar is now $1.50 x $1.90. EDIT: My cost/fill was $1.47
Stock at $78.50 and vols came in to 23%/21% Calendar at $0.55/$0.95 right now, need stock to slip below $77.... EDIT: My cost/fill was $0.78
VOL crush is easy for me to predict and model...it is strike selection for post earnings move that is always tricky .
MACYS next up....looking at the $37 Cal using weeklies in August.... Aug17/Aug24 with vols at 63%/50% ish....
Bought 50 SEP/AUG $37 Put Calendars @ $0.13. Skew was 70%/48% with earnings in a few days. Stock @ $38.48.
Could not resist I loaded up more M Calenders in my other account at higher strike(Aug17/Aug24 weeklies): + BOT 40 M Aug/Aug24 39 Calendar Put 0.138 SMART 10:09:35