Post Election Impact on US Equities

I've been thinking about this for quite some time now.
My logic is that the markets will rise due to the lifting of the uncertainty of who will be elected.

 

From market's view, if Romney wins the market will go up,
if Obama wins the market will basically stay flat.
BUT: it will be only a short term (3 days, We-Fr).
For the next 2 months the market has to go down, regardless of who wins.
BTW, I favor Obama

 

"Has to". I'm gonna quote you on that

 

Exactly. And the market has already come down quite a bit past 3 weeks. Anything can happen.

 

Too many people expecting "something".

Seems more likely "nothing" will happen.

Especially with the results being more or less a known lock for Obama for the past week or so.

 

Positive, they are going up regardless of who wins

I studied this back in the day--- I concur with Donald Luskin here in my chat with him:

http://www.marketsurfer.com/?p=364

 

4-5-2? :eek:

 

Since I like to predict:

1. Obama wins easily by the EC.
2. Market drops 3-4 % in the next 3 days...

 

adding to the position

 

Hm, maybe Surf knows something that we don't. I never trust the Ohio voting machines again, but Obama could win even without Ohio...