My euro call is still valid. Because euro didn't break the bottom formed on 9/3/2019. The idea is to enter the position at the time of the call, and set a stop beyond the bottom. If euro breaks bottom, I will take the loss, and the signal would be deemed failed. If it doesn't break the bottom, and the rally is coming, I will enjoy the rally with my position. This time I didn't enter the position and hold to it. Because my last signal failed and I have a rule that if my signal fails, next time I will not trade on it until it works again.
EUR/USD slides lower in rising oil. https://www.forexlive.com/technical-analysis/!/eurusd-slides-lower-in-rising-oil-20190916 Europe imports most of its oil and rising oil on a supply shock is another negative for the already-struggling region. That's weighing on the euro as it falls 50 pips since the open.
This oil spike is messing up my calls. Not only my euro call is messed up, I was very close to calling a bottom on 10 years T-note. Now 10 years note is up big on oil spike today, interrupting its nature bottoming process. Now I don't know whether its bottom process is completed. Now I can only say 10 years note is very close to its bottom, and after bottom it will have a decent rally to upside. But I can't say if it has reached bottom yet.