I doubt pollsters put anywhere near the effort,resources,number of polls etc into the Fettermen/Oz race or any other race as a presidential race so there is no comparing other races to a presidential race in my opinion. That said RCP was closer to the final margin than Mr GWB's and most Democrats (no epithets intended ) favorite aggregator 538 as usual.
In 2022 RCP predicted a red wave taking both the chambers of Congress by significant margins. This did not happen. 2022 was the beginning of MAGA employing right-wing polling firms to continually spit out polls during the final weeks leading up to the election. The tactic was an attempt to portray themselves as already winning so Democratic-leaning voters would stay home. In 2024, the MAGA crowd has put this tactic "wave of right-wing polling" strategy into overdrive.
What did not happen was RCP predicting a red wave taking both the chambers of Congress by significant margins. RCP's 2022 generic congressional vote was GOP +2.5.The final result was GOP +2.8. And again,nothing compares to presidential polling,the Superbowl of politics and polling.
Polymarket will allow you to bet how unhinged J.D. Vance will be in his interview. JD Vance's Interview With Joe Rogan Will Likely Mention The CIA, JFK And One Other Controversial Topic, Polymarket Traders Speculate https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cr...y-mention-the-cia-jfk-and-one-other-controver
Trump and Harris are both a normal polling error away from a blowout The race is uncertain, but that doesn’t mean the outcome will be close. https://abcnews.go.com/538/trump-harris-normal-polling-error-blowout/story?id=115283593
‘There Is Concern at the Trump Campaign’: Veteran GOP Strategist Says Internal Polling Is ‘Giving Them Pause’ https://www.mediaite.com/tv/there-i...t-says-internal-polling-is-giving-them-pause/