Thats the point that keeps flying over the head of Harris supporters.For this race to be close she needs to have Biden's 2020 numbers.A dead heat in the polls means the Democrat is losing,and badly.
More than half a million people in Georgia who didn’t vote in the presidential election four years ago cast a ballot this month during early voting,” the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports. These voters “include new residents, Georgians who weren’t old enough to vote four years ago, as well as residents who have moved back after a time living in other states and voters who were registered for decades but just skipped 2020.”
Cons pushed so many junk polls at RCP leading up to 2022 that RCP had OZ beating Fetterman on their no toss-ups map. Fetterman won by more than 5%.
MICHIGAN Harris 47%, Trump 47% (USA Today/Suffolk) Harris 48%, Trump 43% (CNN) PENNSYLVANIA Harris 47%, Trump 47% (Monmouth) Harris 50%, Trump 48% (YouGov) WISCONSIN Harris 51%, Trump 45% (CNN)
Polymarket’s Influence on Wall Street’s ‘Game Plan’ Grows Despite Red Flags https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...ll-street-s-game-plan-grows-despite-red-flags Despite widespread skepticism about how much trust investors should place in the signals being sent by cryptocurrency-based predictions market Polymarket, Wall Street is paying close attention to betting on the platform that shows a high chance Donald Trump will win the US presidential election. While naysayers argue that outsized bets and pro-crypto bias can skew the probabilities being presented on the site, some smart-money traders and strategists are following Polymarket very closely. Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump are basically in a dead heat ahead of the Nov. 5 election based on recent polling, yet wagers on Polymarket indicate a 67% probability that Trump will win. (More at above url)
It's a manipulated market --- more of an illusion than reality. Polymarket punters beware — even betting markets are subject to wishful thinking https://www.dlnews.com/articles/markets/even-polymarket-punters-are-subject-to-wishful-thinking/