Polling 2024

Discussion in 'Politics' started by poopy, Jul 28, 2024.

2024 Election Outcome

Poll closed Nov 5, 2024.
  1. Trump Loses

    46.2%
  2. Harris Wins

    69.2%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. Businessman

    Businessman

    [​IMG]


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    [​IMG]



     
    Last edited: Oct 30, 2024
    #901     Oct 30, 2024
  2. Businessman

    Businessman

    New Hampshire is back in play, in 2016 Hilary won by less than 3000 votes:

    New Hampshire 2016

    Hillary Clinton 46.8%
    Donald J. Trump 46.5%
     
    Last edited: Oct 30, 2024
    #902     Oct 30, 2024
  3. Atlantic

    Atlantic

    surely not.
     
    #903     Oct 30, 2024
  4. That came from the 538 website Sir.


    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-death-of-polling-is-greatly-exaggerated/



    upload_2024-10-30_9-45-57.png

    First, let’s give a shout-out to the pollsters with the lowest average error. Those were AtlasIntel (2.2 percentage points), Trafalgar Group (2.6 points), Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research (2.8 points), Harris Insights & Analytics (3.3 points) and Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantage (3.5 points).
     
    #904     Oct 30, 2024

  5. The poll referenced had Trump +2.

    upload_2024-10-30_9-49-26.png
     
    #905     Oct 30, 2024
  6. Atlantic

    Atlantic

    273K puerto rican voters in pennsylvania

    :thumbsup::fistbump::strong:
     
    #906     Oct 30, 2024
  7. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    The Economist: “Kamala Harris’ probability of victory rose by six percentage points in today’s update, making the race a dead heat. The move is sharp because of the large volume of new polls (65 yesterday) and how little time is left before the election.”

    “Ms Harris’s gains are concentrated in the Rust Belt, where surveys showed her with a slight lead in Michigan and Wisconsin and tied in Pennsylvania. She also improved her chances of winning North Carolina, where Donald Trump has a narrow lead.”
     
    #907     Oct 30, 2024
  8. Businessman

    Businessman

    [​IMG]
     
    #908     Oct 30, 2024
    insider trading likes this.
  9. Mercor

    Mercor

    80 Percent of Orthodox Jews Support Trump
     
    #909     Oct 30, 2024
  10. Ricter

    Ricter

    One issue voters: Zionism.
     
    #910     Oct 30, 2024