Polling 2024

Discussion in 'Politics' started by poopy, Jul 28, 2024.

2024 Election Outcome

Poll closed Nov 5, 2024.
  1. Trump Loses

    46.2%
  2. Harris Wins

    69.2%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. The votes were directed at the Party.Since Harris supports the same Gaza policy as Biden she will suffer the same consequences.
     
    #821     Oct 28, 2024
  2. Yet again,I don't believe pollsters put the same effort and resources in 500+ Congressional races as they do presidential races.
     
    #822     Oct 28, 2024
  3. The fact that Harris is polling far lower than Hillary Clinton should tell you all that abortion is not as big an issue as you think it is.

    https://news.gallup.com/poll/651719/economy-important-issue-2024-presidential-vote.aspx


    Economy Most Important Issue to 2024 Presidential Vote
    October 9, 2024

    WASHINGTON, D.C. -- The economy ranks as the most important of 22 issues that U.S. registered voters say will influence their choice for president. It is the only issue on which a majority of voters, 52%, say the candidates’ positions on it are an “extremely important” influence on their vote. Another 38% of voters rate the economy as “very important,” which means the issue could be a significant factor to nine in 10 voters.

    Voters view Donald Trump as better able than Kamala Harris to handle the economy, 54% versus 45%. Trump also has an edge on perceptions of his handling of immigration (+9 percentage points) and foreign affairs (+5), while Harris is seen as better on climate change (+26), abortion (+16) and healthcare (+10). The candidates are evenly matched on voters’ impressions of who would better address gun policy.

    upload_2024-10-28_20-18-9.png
     
    #823     Oct 28, 2024
  4. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    Generic congressional polls and Senate polls were off by a huge margin but it wasn't even the polls, the results in many election swung towards Dems because of the abortion issue.
     
    #824     Oct 28, 2024
  5. Generic congressional polls were not off by a huge margin,they were nearly perfect,at least on RCP.

    upload_2024-10-28_20-21-5.png
     
    #825     Oct 28, 2024
  6. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    Harris is polling at 48-51 percent in most polls, Hillary was off by 5 points - how is Harris polling 'far lower'?

    You don't seem to understand the undecided column at all. You can have a 5 point advantage but if the undecided break towards a candidate in the end and then they can easily wipe out that 5 point advantage which is what happened in 2016.
     
    #826     Oct 28, 2024
  7. The abortion issue didn't stop 100,000 in Michigan or 50,000 in Wisconsin from voting uncommitted or prevent Biden from having horrendous approval ratings or Harris polling lower than Obama,Clinton and Biden.
     
    #827     Oct 28, 2024
  8. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    There were pollsters who were giving Republicans plus 5 and 0.3 isn't a small margin when Republicans were expecting a red wave.

    Also the polls that did get 2022 right were ABC and Yougov.

    Both of which are giving Harris 4 point advantage in 2024.
     
    #828     Oct 28, 2024
  9. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn



    15 months ago and directed to Cornel West.
     
    #829     Oct 28, 2024

  10. upload_2024-10-28_20-26-40.png
     
    #830     Oct 28, 2024