Any comments on why the pollsters are changing the electorate by 12% from urban to rural by a massive margin? Did the electorate change so much in 4 years? Any comments on Trump's ceiling of 46% in last 2 elections and current polls showing something similar. Why don't you want to discuss these important topics instead of opinion editorials about Gaza and Wisconsin.
Every election the side that is polling poorly has excuses why the polls are wrong,yet the RCP has an 80% and 100% prediction record.I'll stick with the overall record as long as its good.
I am not even saying they are wrong, I am asking whether you have any explanation how the electorate changed 12% in four years.
After debating endlessly with the right in 2012 over their assertions Romney was really ahead 5-10 points because the polls were skewed I no longer have interest in debating the subject.Pollsters have a solid enough record to stand on against the critics of the side that is doing poorly in the polls imo.
I am not asking you for a debate, since you seem to have so much opinion on polling - I asked you a simple question about the current sample size. It's pretty clear that pollsters are over-correcting for their mistakes in the previous cycles and yet Trump couldn't breach 47% and yet you have no opinions on the subject other than quoting RCP Electoral College map like its some holy grail. They are always wrong in a close race and they were massively wrong in 2022 - just check all the Senate races.
All my post on polls are regarding presidential polls,which I have said I believe pollsters put more effort into than Senate and House races.
But I am talking about presidential polls as well, how are pollsters expecting a 12% change in the electorate in four years compared to the actual results in 2020. How is that possible?
They are always right when they have the race not being close. With the current map not being close at all I expect they will be right again.
Again,this is another argument criticizing the polls from the side that is doing poorly in the polls.Presidential polls have a solid enough record that this debate is not worth having.