Polling 2024

Discussion in 'Politics' started by poopy, Jul 28, 2024.

2024 Election Outcome

Poll closed Nov 5, 2024.
  1. Trump Loses

    46.2%
  2. Harris Wins

    69.2%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    #691     Oct 26, 2024
  2. I don't know what polls you were following but RCP aggregate polling had Obama ahead by quite a bit.


    upload_2024-10-26_13-42-55.png



    upload_2024-10-26_13-43-15.png


    upload_2024-10-26_13-43-38.png



    upload_2024-10-26_13-44-30.png
     
    #692     Oct 26, 2024
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.

  3. The overall range.The Harvard poll has multiple results so I use the overall range,I explained that in the post you quoted.

    In direct comparison of the poll you are using Harris and Clinton are equal with a lead of 28 points.

    https://iop.harvard.edu/youth-poll/31st-edition-fall-2016

    upload_2024-10-26_14-10-2.png
     
    #693     Oct 26, 2024
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  4. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    Clinton was bleeding support to third party, Harris isn't and yet you are claiming she is doing worse than Hillary. Range is irrelevant, Harris gained back the voters that Hillary lost and Trump isn't getting them, that helps in every state.
     
    #694     Oct 26, 2024
  5. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    #695     Oct 26, 2024

  6. Trumps support was 21% in 2016 and 32% in 2024,so he is certainly getting them and that is why range and overall lead is important.
     
    #696     Oct 26, 2024
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  7. My screenshots prove what I said,that RCP polls had Obama leading in state polling.You said Romney lead in state polling by a lot Sir.


    Electoral map won't show how much the state polls got it wrong in 2012 which favored Romney by a lot.

    upload_2024-10-26_14-43-13.png
     
    #697     Oct 26, 2024
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  8. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    We are talking about margins, state polls overestimated Romney by 2 to 4 points which they can be doing for Trump this time.
     
    #698     Oct 26, 2024
  9. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    Trump support was 28%, I just linked to the poll.

    The former U.S. secretary of state had the support of 49 percent of likely voters, ahead of Republican rival Donald Trump's 28 percent support
     
    #699     Oct 26, 2024
  10. Trumps support was 21%. I linked to the poll,directly from Harvard.

    https://iop.harvard.edu/youth-poll/31st-edition-fall-2016


    upload_2024-10-26_14-57-4.png
     
    #700     Oct 26, 2024
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.