No need to bail because of disagreements with one or two members Sir.Some of us poll junkies do value your polling insight.I disagree with much of GWB's opinions but I value his insight as well.
Why didn't he mention RCP's 2012 state/electoral map polling? While national polling in 2012 was close,state polling showed a blowout for Obama,similar to the state polling for Trump now. There are other things to consider such as Harris is no Obama and Obama was much more popular in his first term than Joe Biden is now.In 2012 Obama was polling 93% with Black voters,Harris is polling at 79%.In 2012 Obama was polling higher with every left leaning group than Harris is now.
No Sir I am not shifting goal posts.I stated in the post you quoted that Harris was doing worse than Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton in that same poll.
For state polling I use RCP's electoral college map.This was their state polling map in November 2012.They had Obama up by 68 electoral college votes,thats a blowout imo. I'm not arguing they get it exactly right but the candidate that was ahead on their map won the electoral college in 4 of their 5 maps since RCP's inception.The only one they got wrong was 2016 when they only had Clinton ahead by 6 electoral college votes.
Electoral map won't show how much the state polls got it wrong in 2012 which favored Romney by a lot.