Interesting nuggets in NYT/Siena: In late October's 2020 NYT/Siena Joe Biden lead by 9 points. In late October's 2024 NYT/Siena it's tied. A loss of a whopping 9 points for Democrats.
Not only is Harris going to do worse than Obama,Biden, both Clinton's and maybe Gore,she might do worse than Kerry.At least Hillary and Gore can say they won the popular vote,its looking like Harris won't.
A new Harvard Youth Poll of voters under age 30 finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 28 points among likely voters, 60% to 32%.
His support is cooked, there is hardly any movement with his numbers. It's all about Harris threshold and how much she could gain.
Republicans’ Early Voting Surge: What We Know From Ballots So Far Donald Trump is sending mixed messages, but data shows Republicans are voting early in key swing states. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...o-know-in-arizona-pennsylvania-north-carolina Republican voters have so far cast more early ballots than Democrats in three of the key swing states, giving the party a potential ray of optimism with less than two weeks before Election Day. More registered Republicans have voted in Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina than Democrats, according to publicly available state data. The party affiliation doesn't mean that voters have to vote for their party's candidate, so there's no way to definitively know whether the early voters supported the person that their party is aligned with. (More at above url)