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Polling 2024

Discussion in 'Politics' started by poopy, Jul 28, 2024.

insider trading
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gwb-trading said:
It all went down in mid-September, at a time when the FiveThirtyEight polling averages showed the slightest of leads for Kamala Harris in North Carolina, a must-win state for Trump. Her edge was short-lived: The averages moved back to favoring Trump. And Quantus Insights, a GOP-friendly polling firm, took credit for this development. When a MAGA influencer celebrated the pro-Trump shift on X (formerly Twitter), Quantus’s account responded: “You’re welcome.”

The implication was clear. A Quantus poll had not only pushed the averages back to Trump; this was nakedly the whole point of releasing the poll in the first place.
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RCP did not include Quantus Insights in their September NC polling.

#631 Oct 23, 2024

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insider trading
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gwb-trading said:
Take Pennsylvania. We examined all the polls from October that FiveThirtyEight includes in its averages. As of October 22, there have been 19 polls conducted wholly in the month of October so far. Eleven are either from right-leaning firms or from firms polling for right-wing news outlets, such as the Daily Mail and The Telegraph. Seven were conducted by nonideological pollsters, sometimes in conjunction with mainstream news outlets (the Times and The Washington Post), sometimes on their own.
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While 538 has 19 polls conducted in PA in the month of October so far,RCP only has 10.

You and Mr Ex Goper keep claiming RCP is right wing biased but they leave out a lot of the accused biased right wing polls that 538 includes such as the Daily Mail,Quantus Insights and The Telegraph.

Last edited: Oct 23, 2024

#632 Oct 23, 2024

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Businessman
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National poll by Wall Street Journal 2-WAY

Trump: 49%
Harris: 46%

Last poll was Harris + 1

#633 Oct 23, 2024

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Atlantic
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#634 Oct 24, 2024

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Businessman
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Half hour chat with the guy from Rasmussen

#635 Oct 24, 2024

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insider trading
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Epic Harris collapse.Trump almost has the popular vote lead.

#636 Oct 24, 2024

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Atlantic
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insider trading said:
Epic Harris collapse.Trump almost has the popular vote lead.

View attachment 352395
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enjoy your sweet illusions for another 12 days ...

#637 Oct 24, 2024

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insider trading
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insider trading said:
Epic Harris collapse.Trump almost has the popular vote lead.

View attachment 352395
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While RCP's electoral college map is 4-1 in predicting the electoral college winner,their national polling is 5-0 in predicting the popular vote winner.

#638 Oct 24, 2024

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Businessman
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Hart Research is notorious for overstating national support for Democrats.

Latest National poll by Hart Research for CNBC
Trump: 48%
Harris: 46%

Battleground States
Trump: 48%
Harris: 47%

#639 Oct 24, 2024

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gwb-trading
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2 major polls show Donald Trump gaining slight edge over Kamala Harris in election race
https://fortune.com/2024/10/24/harris-trump-polls-us-presidential-election/

#640 Oct 24, 2024

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