[/QUOTE] Watching this video of Trump arriving at McDonalds , How can any media question why the restaurant was closed
How accurate are political polls? And how much should you read into figures ahead of the 2024 election? https://theweek.com/politics/2024-election-polls-accuracy
Mark Mitchell explains why polling is increasingly a steaming pile of unreliable data "it's just a big noisy mess". They can't get a really representative sample anymore and have to weight on best hunch is what I hear. It's all people who happen to have landlines or get paid much less than a dollar to fill out an online survey. Rubbish in, rubbish out.
4-1 in predicting the electoral college winner,the only one they got wrong they only had Clinton ahead by 6 electoral college votes (Trump is currently ahead by 86 electoral college votes). In 2 weeks RCPs electoral college polling map will be 5-1 in predicting the electoral college winner.If a stock or sports betting picking system was that accurate it would be considered the holy grail.
Since RCP began their electoral college polling map is 80%. In 2 weeks their electoral college polling map will be 83%.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-gets-surprising-news-performance-153040733.html Trump Gets Surprising News on His Performance From a Shocking Poll Ellie Quinlan Houghtaling Tue, October 22, 2024 Results from a “shock” poll shared by one of Donald Trump’s surrogates started trending on X Monday, telling 1.4 million people that the Republican presidential nominee was gaining ground on Vice President Kamala Harris in New Mexico. But none of it appears to be real. MAGA ally Richard Grennell, who served as the acting director of national intelligence during Trump’s administration, posted the sourceless numbers to his X account, claiming that Harris only had a three-point lead on the former president in the battleground state. But that alleged narrow lead made light of other recent surveys, including one published in the Albuquerque Journal on Monday, which showed Harris with a nine-point lead, three times more than Grennell suggested. “Trump surrogates are literally fabricating polls at this point to make their supporters think a victory is inevitable,” wrote Democratic strategist and pollster Matt McDermott in response to Grennell’s post. “No poll shows this in New Mexico.” Doubts were similarly cast over Harris’s odds on the betting platform Polymarket, which saw Trump suddenly surge ahead of the Democratic presidential nominee with 63 percent of the projected vote compared to Harris’s 36 percent. One bettor appeared to be behind the switch-up. “Fredi9999” holds more than $20 million in pro-Trump bets on the site, and users have suggested that the same person could be behind several accounts with some of the site’s largest bets on the Republican presidential nominee, reported CCN.
Polls are no longer as important, it is all about Early Voting numbers in the battle ground states now.
And for now it’s pretty ugly for the democrats. Fortunately all those early votes from registered republicans be changed to Kamala.