Polling 2024

I don't doubt they will try,I doubt they will succeed.They tried to adjust 2020 after 2016 and got it 3x's worse.

It is hard to poll for Trumps true support.Some Trump voters see it as a screw you to the mainstream media by not answering polls.Some Trump voters wont say they are voting Trump because they think they will be put on a government list or think they will be shamed.Some Trump voters will purposely try to screw with pollsters and Democrats and say they will vote Democrat knowing they will vote Trump etc.

https://katu.com/news/local/changes...g-more-accurate-in-2020-political-experts-say

Changes are underway to make polling more accurate in 2020, political experts say

by Megan Allison, KATU Staff

Fri, October 9th 2020 at 9:37 PM
Updated Sat, October 10th 2020 at 11:40 PM

 

Nate the conman Silver says its a very important factor yet he now has Trump winning.Imo it would be best to stop buying bridges from Nate the conman Silver Sir.

 

Brutal.

 

I thought you dismissed prediction markets.

 

I give more weight to prediction markets at different times,such as when early voting starts as I trust the market to interpret the data more than left wing spin masters and pundits.

 

it smells like you only like data that corroborates your perspective and will rationalize it from there.

 

The same thing can smell differently to different people Sir.

 

Oh fuck off with your rigged polymarket. The cat's out of the bag.

Numbers, not odors.