Short Answer: "No". Texas is a stretch too far. Can Kamala Harris Turn Texas Blue? https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-texas-blue-trump-2024-election-1938605
A new Monmouth poll finds a huge shift in enthusiasm in the presidential race. “While the number of voters who were at least somewhat enthusiastic about the Trump versus Biden rematch had been increasing throughout the year, it never topped 50%. Now that the contest is Trump versus Harris, voter enthusiasm has risen to 68%. The biggest jump has been among Democrats (from 46% in June to 85% now), but there has also been a notable increase in enthusiasm among independents (from 34% to 53%).” “Among Republicans, enthusiasm for the Trump-Harris contest (71%) is identical to what it was for the Trump-Biden rematch in June (71%).” The horse race: “Just under half of registered voters say they will either definitely (38%) or probably (10%) vote for Harris in November and, in a separate question, just over 4 in 10 will definitely (33%) or probably (10%) support Trump. About half say they will definitely not vote for Trump (49%), while a somewhat smaller number say they definitely will not vote for Harris (44%).”
The internals of the latest New York Times/Siena poll show Donald Trump’s margin among non-college-educated white voters in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin have shrunk from +25 against Joe Biden to +14 against Kamala Harris, CNN reports.
Step up and place your bets. Trump falls behind Harris in betting market for first time Traders and oddsmakers now give Kamala Harris better odds than Trump of winning the 2024 presidential election https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/trump-falls-behind-harris-betting-market-first-time
Vice President Kamala Harris has a perceived advantage over former President Donald Trump on several leadership qualities such as honesty, a poll from Associated Press-NORC finds
A new Franklin & Marshall College Poll in Pennsylvania finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump, 46% to 43%. The main reasons that Harris voters are supporting her candidacy include anti-Trumpism (18%), women’s rights (17%), character (15%), partisanship (13%), and democracy (13%). The top reasons voters provide for supporting Trump include economic policy (29%), immigration (20%), and partisanship (19%).
The first Emerson College national survey following President Biden’s decision not to seek re-election finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump 50% to 46%. Five percent of likely voters are undecided. With undecided voters’ support allocated, Harris continues to lead by four, 52% to 48%. With third-party candidates on the ballot, Harris and Trump’s support evenly decreases by two points, Harris to 48% and Trump to 44%. Four percent support Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Legendary GOP Pollster Frank Luntz Ramps Up His Criticism of Trump ‘POLITICAL SUICIDE’ “I haven’t seen anything like this happen in 30 days in my lifetime,” Luntz said about Trump’s polling decline and Kamala Harris’s surge. https://www.thedailybeast.com/legendary-gop-pollster-ramps-up-attacks-against-trump
Is there a single recent national poll in the U.S. besides the discredited Ramussen and Trafalgar polls where Trump leads? Kamala Harris Leads Trump in Six National Polls in One Day https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-national-polls-1939574