If you notice, almost all of them are showing Biden above 50 which is the point I have been trying to make while you keep ignoring it. Once 50% is hit, whether Trump goes from 43 to 46 is irrelevant.
The 50% point you keep arguing is irrelevant.What is relevant is Bidens 7-8 point lead,as that covers Trump outperforming the polls and the 4 point popular vote lead The Democrat needs to win.
The polls were accurate about Biden's vote share, how is that irrelevant? Trump can outperform all he wants from 43 to 46, doesn't change anything.
BREAKING: For the first time ever heading into an election, Donald Trump is FAVORED to win in the 538 election forecast.
While late even your boy Nate the conman Silver who you are basing the argument on has flipped to Trump.RCP told us long before Nate and 538 did. https://www.newsweek.com/nate-silver-trump-momentum-kamala-harris-polling-electoral-college-1971490 Nate Silver Says There's 'Real Movement' Toward Trump in Polling Data Published Oct 18, 2024 at 4:37 PM EDT Polling expert Nate Silver said he sees "real movement" toward former President Donald Trump in recent polling data, signaling a shift in key swing states ahead of the 2024 presidential election. Silver's analysis, based on his presidential model that tracks polling data and electoral trends, indicates that Trump now has a better chance of winning the Electoral College than Vice President Kamala Harris. https://www.newsweek.com/nate-silver-why-kamala-harris-could-lost-trump-1971083 Nate Silver Lists Why It's Not So Easy for Kamala Harris To Beat Trump Published Oct 18, 2024 at 7:18 AM EDT
So 538 is not reliable but its also reliable when it shows in Trump's favor. Can't make this shit up. Are you jem by any chance?