Trump is losing PA https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-...024-general-election-early-vote-pennsylvania/
GOp tends not to do early mail in voting so it naturally would skew Dem so not really telling of how PA will go...
Yep, that being public data is already priced into betting markets, Polymarket has Trump at 54% in PA, so the race in PA is still very close according to betting markets..
over 7 million votes were cast in 2020 election in PA for Prez. Right now just over 400,000 mail in votes were received which is what...half of 1%. GOP preaches voting in person so majority of mail in votes are often Dem. A sample size of half of 1% of normally skewed Dem.votes is not indicative of much. It's not simplistic, it just is...
Off by factor of 10, its five percent. Regardless, the comparison would be to the early voting in 2020, 3 weeks before the election... Does the difference between now and then favour Dems or Republicans.. Or is it pretty much similar.. Anyone know?
Closest I could find. https://6abc.com/vote-pa-2020-election-mail-in-ballot-voting-pennsylvania/7283354/ Nearly 1.5 million Pennsylvanians have already cast ballots ahead of election By Annie McCormick and Bob Brooks Saturday, October 24, 2020 Voting early is proving more popular with Democrats than Republicans. According to the Department of State, 1,023,402 of the ballots that have been returned came from Democrats, 293,318 came from Republicans, and 132,680 came from other or unaffiliated party registrants, for a total of 1,449,400.
Economic discontent, issue divisions add up to tight presidential contest: POLL Harris has 50% support to Trump’s 48% among likely voters, the poll finds. https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/eco...tight-presidential-contest/story?id=114723390