https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...ls-trump-vs-harris-biden-clinton/75532448007/ Trump is in a better polling spot now than he was against Clinton or Biden David Jackson USA TODAY WASHINGTON - If polls are any guide - and there are many questions about them - Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is in better shape now than he was at this time in 2020 and in his winning White House campaign of 2016. Yes, Trump trails Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris in most polls. But the all-important caveat is that he's down against the incumbent vice president by smaller margins than he faced in his first two general elections - both of which saw him score higher with actual voters than the ones who responded to pollsters.
So now Nate Silver is a conman and RCP which is run by right wing group and was completely wrong in 2022 is the honest one. Clearly you want to cherry pick your narrative, have at it.
RCP is 4-1 in presidential elections.The one they got wrong was closer to the final outcome than Nate the conman Silvers prediction.
RCP was within 0.3 points in the 2022 midterms popular vote. RCP got the Senate wrong but so did Conman Silver.
According to "right wing" RCP, Democrats lead. The "right wing" RCP has Democrats polling higher than the "non partisan/fair" 538.
Nate Silver has the same record, even better in mid-terms but he is a conman in favor of RCP run by Republicans.