On this date in the MICHIGAN RCP aggregate, October 10th 2016 Clinton +7.3 2020 Biden +6.7 2024 Trump +0.8
73% of independent voters support Kamala Harris. https://www.yahoo.com/news/heres-21-independents-had-choosing-140319299.html
I don't have an opinion on the electorate but I think its getting harder and harder for Democrats to win the electoral college.Trump won the electoral college by a larger margin of votes losing the popular vote by 3 million votes than Biden did by winning the popular vote by 7 million votes.Carter won the electoral college winning the popular vote by 2 points while Clinton lost the electoral college after winning the popular vote by 2 points. I agree with you about the base,thats why I think Harris will lose.Harris is polling lower than Barack Obama,Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden with Black voters,Hispanic voters,Arab voters,young voters,progressive voters etc and polls show voters who identify as Democrats are at an all time low thus she is doing very poorly with the base.
Trump breaks 300 electoral college votes on RCP. The only time RCP's electoral college map was wrong in picking the electoral college winner was when they had Hillary Clinton ahead by only 6 electoral college votes,Trump is now ahead by 66 electoral college votes.
In both 2016 and 2020 Trump gained in the polls the final month of the election,same thing is happening now.
There is no way you are leaving a rally and not thinking WTF was that. Stream of consciousness? Stream of piss.
He's certainly bad.He's not going to win because he is a good person,intelligent person or was a good president,he's going to win because millions of left wing voters cannot stomach voting for Kamala Harris and this current Democrat Party.
These polling maps from RCP are laughable. For example EVERY SINGLE POLL PERFORMED IN MICHIGAN IN OCTOBER SHOWS KAMALA AHEAD (from respected polling agencies) -- Yet somehow RCP shows Trump winning Michigan in this map. These "No Toss Up States" Maps from RCP are meaningless. Michigan 2024 Presidential Polls https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/