https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-kamala-harris-swing-state-polls-atlasintel-1960904 AtlasIntel was named the most accurate polling group of the 2020 presidential election by 538
only issue is how much are polls handicapping trump effect. If they are overly biasing to trump to avoid systemic errors in the past that might explain Kamala lead in betting markets
It helps even out heavily biased left wing polls imo.Due to left wing polls RCP and 538 had Biden +7.2 and +8.4 in 2020 and he won by 4.5.
True. Polling is a complex "art" -- especially the analysis of data in a manner to avoid the introduction of systemic errors and overt biasing in results. I believe one of the biggest problems with polling -- beyond small sample sizes -- is the self-selection bias. Usually only people who are partisan one direction or the other are likely to participate in a poll. People who are undecided or rarely follow political elections are unlikely to participate in a poll. When these fence sitters show up on election day -- usually not tracked well by polls -- then the result can go in any direction.
The left harps on biased right wing polls but ignore biased left wing polls that caused Trump to outperform the polls in 2020 and 2016. Some left wing polls had Clinton and Biden up 7-15 points.
Rcp biases out left wing biased data but not right wing. Under betting odds they removed predictit a few weeks ago with no explanation. Predictit was Kamala leaning while others that were trump leaning stayed.