Pollsters: Don’t be so sure Trump will outperform our surveys https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4904402-trump-polls-accuracy-questioned/
They said they fixed the polls for 2020,and Trump outperformed them more than he did 2016. https://katu.com/news/local/changes...g-more-accurate-in-2020-political-experts-say Changes are underway to make polling more accurate in 2020, political experts say by Megan Allison, KATU Staff Fri, October 9th 2020 at 9:37 PM Updated Sat, October 10th 2020 at 11:40 PM
If they're perfect and Harris wins the popular vote by 2 points,she still very likely losses the election.
And they were, Biden was projected to hit 50% in many swing states and he got there because even with undecideds breaking towards Trump late, it didn't help in the end. That's the crucial point you keep ignoring, the 50% threshold. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Pennsylvania
Atlas Intel was the most accurate pollster in 2020 and 2022: Swing States Polling by @atlas_intel PENNSYLVANIA Trump: 51% (+2.9) Harris: 48.1% — WISCONSIN Trump: 49.7% (+1.5) Harris: 48.2% — MICHIGAN Trump: 50.6% (+3.4) Harris: 47.2% GEORGIA Trump: 49.6% (+0.6) Harris: 49% — ARIZONA Trump: 49.8% (+1.2) Harris: 48.6% — NEVADA Harris: 50.5% (+2.8) Trump: 47.7% — NORTH CAROLINA Harris: 50.5% (+2.4) Trump: 48.1% The most accurate pollster nationally in the United States in the last two election cycles has been Atlas Intel. In 2020 the public opinion research firm overestimated Biden by 0.2 points. In 2022 they overestimated the GOP by 0.3 points in the generic Congressional ballot. Impressively, in both cycles, they got the final results within a few tenths of a point.
LOL - the self-declared "most accurate pollster nationally in the United States". Yeah, of course, the ratings at 538, etc. demonstrate differently. Even more laughable -- they include Rasmussen and Trafalgar in their comparison -- who Atlas Intel deems to be fairly accurate -- barely behind them in the chart. This is your reminder that Rasmussen and Trafalgar are so biased and inaccurate that they were booted from being including in the 538 aggregate polling summary.
The latest Atlas Intel poll is absolutely consistent with Internal Democrat polling for Michigan which leaked out the other day: Democrat Elissa Slotkin: "I'm not feeling my best right now about where we are in Kamala Harris in a place like Michigan. We have her under water in our polling. MICHIGAN Trump: 50.6% (+3.4) Harris: 47.2%