VP Harris is doing worse than Hillary Clinton,and Joe Biden, in that same poll. Harris's range in the poll is +17-32. Hillary's range in the poll in 2016 was +28-34. Harris is doing worse than Joe Biden in that same poll in 2020. Harris's range in the poll is +17-32. Joe Biden's range in the poll in 2020 was +24-38.
Harris up by 7 points in a new national poll. In every new poll, Trump sinks further. At this rate soon this White Nazi will be further behind in the polls than the Black Nazi in North Carolina. Harris vs. Trump: Who is leading the polls? https://www.reuters.com/world/us/ha...r-debate-winner-reutersipsos-poll-2024-09-12/ WASHINGTON, Sept 24 (Reuters) - Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump 47% to 40% in the race to win the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election, as she appeared to blunt Trump's edge on the economy and jobs, a Reuters/Ipsos poll published on Tuesday found. Harris had a six percentage point lead based on unrounded figures - which showed her with support from 46.61% of registered voters while Trump was backed by 40.48%, according to the three-day poll that closed on Monday. The Democrat's lead was slightly higher than her five-point advantage over Trump in a Sept 11-12 Reuters/Ipsos poll. The latest poll had a margin of error of about four percentage points. Asked which candidate had the better approach on the "economy, unemployment and jobs," some 43% of voters in the poll picked Trump and 41% selected Harris. Trump's two-point advantage on the topic compares to his three-point lead in an August Reuters/Ipsos poll and an 11 point lead over Harris in late July shortly after she launched her campaign. While national surveys including Reuters/Ipsos polls give important signals on the views of the electorate, the state-by-state results of the Electoral College determine the winner, with seven battleground states likely to be decisive. The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 1,029 U.S. adults online, nationwide, including 871 registered voters. Among these, 785 were considered the most likely to turn out on Election Day. Among these likely voters, Harris led 50% to 44%, though similar to her lead among all registered voters, her advantage was only five points when using unrounded figures.
Slight bump in aggregate polling for VP Harris (+2.3). VP Harris is still polling lower than Hillary Clinton (+3.2) and Joe Biden (+7.2).
President Trump outperformed the polling in 2020 by 2.7 points.If that is the case now Trump is leading VP Harris in the popular vote as her lead is only 2.3.
Trump is getting a higher share of the vote against Harris thus her net lead is less than Biden and Clinton. Net polling lead with the different situations they ask Harris's lead is lower than Hillary Clinton's and Joe Biden's. Harris's net lead is as low as +17 depending on type of voter and if 3rd party's are included. The lowest net lead Clinton had was +28 and the lowest net lead Biden had was +24.Hillary Clinton's and Joe Biden's net highest lead is higher than VP Harris's as well with Biden's highest net lead +38,Clinton's highest net lead +34,while the highest net lead VP Harris has in the poll is +31.
https://spectator.org/why-is-kamala...m=rss&utm_campaign=why-is-kamala-still-losing Why Is Kamala Still Losing? Nobody wants Kamala Harris to win this election more than do her celebrity media friends, who are willing to forfeit their credibility to drag her across the finish line. ABC News, whose blatantly one-sided “fact-checking” during Harris’s debate with Donald Trump was widely criticized, has seen its ratings tumble in the aftermath. What’s remarkable is not just the absolute shamelessness of the media’s pro-Democrat bias — they’re so far in the tank for her, their “news coverage” is just an endless campaign ad for Harris — but the fact that it doesn’t seem to be helping. The one story they’re not reporting is the most important of all: Kamala Harris is losing this election. Don’t take my word for it. Go look at where Harris stands in the polls today, and then compare her numbers to what the polls showed for Joe Biden on the same day in his 2020 race against Trump, and for Hillary Clinton in her 2016 race against Trump. In both of those previous two elections, most polls were slanted in favor of the Democratic candidates, so that Trump did better in the final official vote tallies than he did in the polls. This track record of error in favor of Democrats provides the proverbial “grain of salt” with which everyone should consume public polling. Fortunately, Tom Bevan, Carl Cannon and the rest of the crew at RealClearPolitics (RCP) have made it easy for anyone to compare current presidential poll numbers to those in 2020 and 2016. These comparisons show Harris to be underperforming Biden and Clinton to such an extent that a Trump victory in November is the most likely outcome. As of Sunday morning, the RCP average of national polls showed Harris leading Trump by 1.9 points, but four years ago on the same day, Biden led Trump by 6.6 points in the RCP average, meaning that Harris is underperforming Biden by 4.7 points and guess what? In the final official tally of 2020, Biden won by 4.5 points, with 51.3 percent to Trump’s 46.8 percent. In other words, if polls have the same predictive value now as they did in 2020, Trump would actually win the popular vote by a slender margin over Harris.
VP Harris is underperforming Joe Biden by 4.7 points and Biden with his huge polling lead only won the Electoral College by less than 50,000 votes.Unlike Harris, Biden had no threat of Stein or West taking a significant amount of left wing votes in 2020.
Net lead is irrelevant in a FPTP system. In 2016, Hillary had a net lead but she wasn't near the 50% threshold which cost her the election when undecideds broke towards Trump.
This is the only poll that matters from here on out. It's The September Gallup favorability poll and has never been wrong in picking the winner of the popular vote