Atlast Intel nailed it, Actual vs (Polling) NC: Trump +3.4 (+3.4) GA: Trump +2.2 (+2.5) WI: Trump +1.0 (+1.0) MI: Trump +1.5 (+1.5) PA: Trump +1.9 (+1.8) AZ: Trump +5.5 (+6.5) NV: Trump +3.8 (+5.5)
And the most accurate in 2020. Other great ones are Trafalgar, Inside Advantage, Rasmussen, and Gallup (for popular vote). Surprisingly, Emerson did a great job this year.