Polling 2024

Discussion in 'Politics' started by poopy, Jul 28, 2024.

2024 Election Outcome

Poll closed Nov 5, 2024.
  1. Trump Loses

    46.2%
  2. Harris Wins

    69.2%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. :cool::cool::cool:
     
    #1031     Nov 6, 2024

  2. I repeatedly told you your 50% argument was worthless Sir.
     
    #1032     Nov 6, 2024
    Tsing Tao likes this.
  3. upload_2024-11-6_8-11-59.png

    I told you abortion wasn't as strong an issue as you and your fellow democrats thought it was.It wasn't nearly as strong as the anger millions of Progressives,Muslims,Black men etc had toward Joe Biden and the Democrat Party.
     
    #1033     Nov 6, 2024

  4. I told you Nate Silver was a conman and his opinion was worthless Sir.



    Nate Silver Gives Election Prediction as Favorite To Win Changes
    Published Nov 05, 2024 at 5:27 AM EST

    Polling expert Nate Silver has issued a fresh election forecast just hours before polls open, with a new favorite to win, while the race is still neck and neck.

    According to Silver's forecast, Vice President Kamala Harris now has a 50 percent chance of winning the Electoral College to former President Donald Trump's 49.6 percent. Harris is projected to win 271 votes while Trump is expected to win 267, per the forecast.



    https://www.thedailybeast.com/nate-...prediction-model-in-middle-of-election-night/

    Nate Silver Gives Up on His Prediction Model in Middle of Election Night

    Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early this election night.

    Silver, 46, shared an update to his popular Substack just before 10:30 p.m. to announce he was pulling his prediction model, in part because it wasn’t “capturing the story of this election night well.”

    “Something like The New York Times Needle is a much better product,” he conceded.

    Prior to the abrupt take-down, Silver’s prediction model gave Kamala Harris a 53 percent chance of beating Donald Trump as of 9:05 p.m.—a sharp contrast from The New York Times’ voting needle, which by 10:30 p.m. gave Trump an 81 percent chance of returning to the White House for another four years.

    Silver, who founded FiveThirtyEight but now runs a Substack, wrote that part of his reasoning for bowing out of the prediction game was due to the fact that his team of two simply didn’t have the resources to keep up with election results.
     
    #1034     Nov 6, 2024

  5. upload_2024-11-6_8-29-59.png


    Wasn't close at all.Unlike Nate the conman Silver,I told you that multiple times.

     
    #1035     Nov 6, 2024
  6. Mr ExGoper thought Trump getting 50% wasn't possible.


    upload_2024-11-6_8-35-44.png




    upload_2024-11-6_8-36-47.png
     
    #1036     Nov 6, 2024
  7. I told you plenty of times that was not the case Sir.


    upload_2024-11-6_16-44-27.png
     
    #1037     Nov 6, 2024
  8. wildchild

    wildchild

    [​IMG]
     
    #1038     Nov 6, 2024
  9. Darc

    Darc

    Speaking of MAGA types Hillbillies who can't count to Ten and marry their Sisters; you must be happy @wildchild
     
    #1039     Nov 6, 2024
  10. wildchild

    wildchild

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
    #1040     Nov 6, 2024