Polling 2024

Discussion in 'Politics' started by poopy, Jul 28, 2024.

2024 Election Outcome

Poll closed Nov 5, 2024.
  1. Trump Loses

    46.2%
  2. Harris Wins

    69.2%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    so if Harris gets 95percent of the vote in CA, NY, and MA she wins the election?
     
    #1001     Nov 3, 2024
  2. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    #1002     Nov 3, 2024
    poopy likes this.
  3. poopy

    poopy

    #1003     Nov 3, 2024
  4. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    I love it.

    diabetics voting for Trump to stick it to Biden and Obamacare.
     
    #1004     Nov 3, 2024
    TrailerParkTed and poopy like this.
  5. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading


    I am not finding the chart you posted at the bottom on how big is the electoral college bias in any of the material Nate Silver has posted in November on his website. Can you provide a link of the source of this graphic showing it is from Nate Silver?

    This graphic only appears to be posted on reddit and twitter -- and not from any accredited poster like Nate Silver.

    Nate's November 3rd post -
    https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

    Nate's November 2nd post -
    https://www.natesilver.net/p/a-shocking-iowa-poll-means-somebody

    Nate's November 1st post -
    https://www.natesilver.net/p/theres-more-herding-in-swing-state

    Nate's Twitter feed -
    https://x.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author
     
    #1005     Nov 3, 2024
  6. poopy

    poopy

    OML.

    It’s a x-section of probability if Trump was even with Harris on the popular vote which ofc is not remotely going to occur.
     
    #1006     Nov 3, 2024
  7. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading


    Election Betting Odds Turn Sharply Toward Kamala Harris After Shock Poll Shows Her Leading Trump in Iowa
    https://www.mediaite.com/politics/e...s-after-shock-poll-shows-her-leading-in-iowa/


    Harris Retakes Election Odds Lead With Betting Market
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/tylerr...ith-betting-market-as-trump-remains-favorite/

    "PredictIt has placed a 51% chance of a Harris victory on Tuesday, marking the vice president’s first lead over Trump—who trails Harris at 49% odds—on the site since Oct. 9."
     
    #1007     Nov 3, 2024
  8. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    Behind the bluster, former President Trump’s campaign is preparing staff members to wind down the operation while privately acknowledging that Trump could lose Tuesday’s election,” Axios reports.

    “It’s unusual for Trump or his campaign to portray anything but rosy scenarios. But an email to staff on Friday offered a clear-eyed view of what could happen in this coin-flip election.”

    “Trump himself has been quick to belittle unfavorable polls and has vowed that the only way he could lose is if Democrats cheat. He has laid the groundwork for legal challenges if things don’t go his way.”
     
    #1008     Nov 4, 2024
  9. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    aren’t both campaigns winding down operations?

    they are large complex enterprises with hundreds of field offices, volunteers, supply chain, and paid people. None of which is needed on Wednesday regardless who wins.
     
    #1009     Nov 4, 2024
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  10. exGOPer

    exGOPer

     
    #1010     Nov 4, 2024