Poll: Sell in May 2011?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by shortie, Apr 27, 2011.

Sell in May 2011 and Go Fishing?

  1. LONG

    32 vote(s)
    34.8%
  2. FLAT

    25 vote(s)
    27.2%
  3. SHORT

    35 vote(s)
    38.0%
  1. Max E.

    Max E.

    I think this is going to be a tough summer for the market.
     
    #71     May 21, 2011
  2. noddyboy

    noddyboy

    Would expect the market to go down unless it goes up...
     
    #72     May 21, 2011
  3. True Dat.

    Directionless except downtrend may resume or we may break up. I guess that's why there's a market, eh?
     
    #73     May 21, 2011
  4. gnode

    gnode

    I sold in april
     
    #74     May 22, 2011
  5. S2007S

    S2007S

    Who writes this pathetic nonsense, US stocks "PLUNGE"

    A 1.25% drop in the markets is a "PLUNGE"???? HAHAHA

    A plunge is something like 8% not 1.25%....idiots!




    US stocks plunge on European debt worries
    US stock markets sharply lower amid growing European debt worries
    ap



    FILE - In this file photo taken May 2, 2011, trader Christopher Forbes works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Heightened tensions over Europe's debt crisis combined with weak economic surveys to send world stock markets sliding on Monday, May 23, 2011,with the euro dropping below $1.40 for the first time in two months. (AP Photo/Richard Drew, file)
    Francesca Levy, AP Business Writer, On Monday May 23, 2011, 11:49 am

    NEW YORK (AP) -- Stocks are plunging after warnings about the finances of several European countries stoked fears that the region's debt crisis is worsening.

    The Dow Jones industrial average is down 169 points, or 1.4 percent, at 12,342 in midday trading. The S&P 500 is down 19, or 1.4 percent, at 1,314. The Nasdaq is down 51, or 1.8 percent, at 2,752.

    Global markets are closing lower Monday after Standard & Poor's said Saturday that it could lower Italy's debt rating within two years.

    Investors are also concerned that Spain's government will have difficulty enforcing spending cuts after a defeat for the ruling Socialist party Sunday.

    On Friday debt a downgrade for Greece raised fears that the country could require more financial help following a $157 billion loan package it received last year.
     
    #75     May 23, 2011
  6. News matches the price action. We had the same events while the markets were rallying but the headlines would read "IPO's and mergers drive markets higher" or "Unemployment applications decrease..."

    Tomorrow the market will retest lows from today then rally to try and close the gap then after failing that later in the week Wed or Thursday they'll drop again....
     
    #76     May 23, 2011
  7. gnode

    gnode

    I think we are headed for a painful decline. This is why I went to cash in April.

    There are very few bargains to buy. Bond yields too low. Earnings yields too low.

    My charts went bearish about 2 weeks ago. I don't know when the turning point will be.
     
    #77     May 23, 2011
  8. Agree. However the stick in my mud is the monthly spoos chart. It wants to retest 1500 in a bad way. When? Summer lows, Fall rally, rollover and then plunge? Gotta trade what you see and for now what I see like you is weakness across the board except select defensive stocks like DF.
     
    #78     May 23, 2011
  9. gnode

    gnode

    I just don't see it getting to 1500 any time soon. Maybe if the Fed comes out with QE3 but I think that is not likely given the PPI numbers. Any more printing is going to hurt profit margins more than it helps.

    I think we just need a breather before we can keep going up. We need real earnings.
     
    #79     May 23, 2011
  10. Apologies in advance if anyone posted something like this before, but you really don't want to be too short in the 3rd year of a President's term. As Ed Hart once observed on FNN way back, the most reliable economic cycle on Earth is the Presidential election cycle:

    The Economic Sweet Spot of Presidential Terms

    My longer-term stuff's been bearish these past two weeks as well, and I've cut back pretty hard. But I don't expect that to last much past June at most. If the economy continues to sputter, every incumbent, including of course the Prez, is going to be putting downright irresistible pressure on the Fed to loosen up even more.
     
    #80     May 23, 2011