Poll: Sell in May 2011?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by shortie, Apr 27, 2011.

Sell in May 2011 and Go Fishing?

  1. LONG

    32 vote(s)
    34.8%
  2. FLAT

    25 vote(s)
    27.2%
  3. SHORT

    35 vote(s)
    38.0%
  1. That does work remarkably well in bull phases. As do positive options expirations (at least over the past 7-8 years).

    It should be noted that the May top occurred on the first of the month on a significant gap and it's been steady selling ever since. The indicies are pretty much masking the retracements seen in alot of the bellweather names, many of which topped out several months ago. There's no doubt, in my mind, that the market's shallow pullback is mainly due to the fact that nobody believes Bernanke won't unleash QE3 if things get materially worse (or just if enough time has passed). It's despicable, but this is the reality of 21st century finance.
     
    #91     May 30, 2011
  2. If Bernanke unleashes QE3 after saying he wouldn't, the market will know that rampant inflation is inevitable, QE4 and 5 are a reality and we will see prices spike hard.
     
    #92     May 30, 2011
  3. Locutus

    Locutus

    "The markets" are not a person have no opinion. People trading it may, and there is certainly nothing despicable about that.
     
    #93     May 30, 2011
  4. Nice prop for the drop. Run it up overnight. Hit the shortstops twice. Uptrend for now but New Highs? Will June break the high of May?

    Peace out.
     
    #94     May 31, 2011
  5. Thursday morning is looking like a good time to get short.

    Even if we only get a 50% retrace of this rally, we will make a nice profit.
     
    #95     May 31, 2011
  6. How's that for a prop and drop. Selling into any strength. Who's buying? .gov? Pension money flows end of month?

    The market shows a lot of crosscurrents. Choppy and volatile. Trade accordingly....


    Peace out.
     
    #96     Jun 1, 2011
  7. gnode

    gnode

    Double dip baby. Here come. Hang on for the ride!
     
    #97     Jun 1, 2011
  8. could somebody explain why the two types of large red days happen:
    1. like today - steady sell-off without bounces (closes ~LOD)
    2. sell-off with sharp bounces (closes ~ LOD)

    could the kind of sell-off be anticipated earlier in the day?
     
    #98     Jun 1, 2011
  9. gnode

    gnode

  10. Big program selling day. Sell into the close trapping any buyers. Low risk if the environment is ripe.
     
    #100     Jun 1, 2011