Poll: How much will Riskarb make in the next six months?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Optionpro007, Oct 22, 2006.

Knowing what "you" know about riskarb...what do you expect his 6month return to be?

Poll closed Nov 21, 2006.
  1. lose money

    42 vote(s)
    36.5%
  2. flat

    15 vote(s)
    13.0%
  3. 10

    5 vote(s)
    4.3%
  4. 20

    6 vote(s)
    5.2%
  5. 30

    11 vote(s)
    9.6%
  6. 40

    2 vote(s)
    1.7%
  7. 50

    7 vote(s)
    6.1%
  8. 65

    5 vote(s)
    4.3%
  9. 80

    3 vote(s)
    2.6%
  10. 100+

    19 vote(s)
    16.5%
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  1. ok no problem. sorry i just went a little defensive when you put it this way:

    "It is my believe most "Traders" would agree."
     
    #11     Oct 22, 2006
  2. BSAM

    BSAM

    I think a better question is: How much will Exxon make in the next six months? What Riskarb makes is his business and has no effect on any of us.
     
    #12     Oct 22, 2006
  3. I hope you really kick ass.

    You deserve it. Your dedication to this business is nothing short of spectacular.


     
    #13     Oct 22, 2006
  4. but they would.

    :D


     
    #14     Oct 22, 2006
  5. Thanks Pro. =) HA has 16 aliases? :p
     
    #15     Oct 22, 2006
  6. 30%+. Smart trader, good strategy, shouldnt have too much trouble beating s&p by 3 standard deviations.
     
    #16     Oct 22, 2006
  7. Why is riskarb's new journal thread closed?

    :mad:
     
    #17     Oct 23, 2006
  8. his pissed off the mods again so I guess we'll never know (how much he'll make in the next 6 months) unless we check in on his blog
     
    #18     Oct 23, 2006
  9. I think it was this post:



    quote from riskarb

    Magna,

    The premise centers on the probability of producing adequate #s of paired but opposing outlier component positions which may earn more on gamma than is lost to the premium paid on the vol-swap, component vol // index vol. Paired-opposing outlier positions will be offset and replaced with fresh atm gamma.




    Wonder if arb would call somebody that right to their face? :D
     
    #19     Oct 23, 2006
  10. he will be back. one way or another. the riskarb saga with et is like some marriages i know. on again off again.
     
    #20     Oct 23, 2006
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