POLL - Futures: How do you determine the trend?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by billpritjr, Nov 14, 2005.

POLL - Futures: How do you determine the trend?

  1. Single MA

    39 vote(s)
    22.9%
  2. Dual MA crossover

    50 vote(s)
    29.4%
  3. Trendline

    61 vote(s)
    35.9%
  4. N-day breakout

    20 vote(s)
    11.8%
  1. Excuse me

    It is the ability to "recognize" that separates us as traders.

    Those who recognize WHEN price is about to move in a direction and ACT will make money.

    Those who cannot recognize as quickly, or as accurately, will lose money.

    HOW one "recognizes" is part of the art and science of trading.

    The rest of it is (often) a semantic jumble that does not move our understanding forward.

    Thanks,
    Steve
     
    #341     Nov 27, 2005
  2. hans37

    hans37


    I suspect it has something to do with some people get an ego boost out of making simple things sound complex so that they can feel better about themselves, pretty comical to me.
     
    #342     Nov 27, 2005


  3. If someone wants to be very fussy, then it's probalby a prediction of the direction.
    But not a prediction of a price level.
    It's like the weatherforecast telling you, the weather will be good. How good? We don't know, but we will see.
    Same here. The price will go higher. How high? We don't know, but we will see :).

    fritz_haber
     
    #343     Nov 27, 2005
  4. Agyar

    Agyar

    Well, there's one thing we can agree on. :)

    I'll let it lie, as I don't think from a practical perspective it matters. I had enough of academia in college.
     
    #344     Nov 27, 2005


  5. sorry to disapoint, but i have absolutely zero interest in any type of trading contest. i don't sell courses, seminars, trading how to books\, etc. so winning or losing a contest means nothing to me.

    HOWEVER, charlie dow, prof logic, etal--- sells a course and/ or seminar based on outrageous claims posted here and on his website, therefore the burden of proof is squarely in his court.

    everyday i need to perform for myself and the investors--- win or lose, i have nothing to gain from this type of challenge. the prizes that i pursue are of far greater significance.

    furthermore, charlie dow needs to prove himself against the market, not against me nor anyone else--- he agreed to do this in march with murray R. or someone else testing his trading system. we will then know if he is a charlaton.

    best,

    surfer
     
    #345     Nov 27, 2005


  6. nah, fritz, you have it wrong. charlie dow makes the claims of omnipotent trading prowness here and on his site. he uses these claims to sell seminars, etc therefore he needs to prove his system against the market, not against me or anyone else.

    he agreed earlier to do this in march with murray rugerio testing his system. we will soon see if the untouchable track record posted on his website is a fabrication, or if he actually posesesses the superb trading acumen he professes.

    surfer
     
    #346     Nov 27, 2005
  7. Vienna

    Vienna

     
    #347     Nov 27, 2005
  8. Well you can look at it both ways. You have made your share of what many feel are outrageous claims too on the existence of successfully trading trends. If you insist that Charlie must have accountability why is it any different for you? I remember a time of you trying to market other websites and use ET as a place to advertise other products too so why are you suddenly in a different category. I think if you are calling him out you have as much to prove about your market claims and how it works as he does. Lets see some objective testing of your strategy and then give it away for free like you want him to do. Just being fair right?
     
    #348     Nov 27, 2005
  9. Now that was a refreshing statement! Bravo.
     
    #349     Nov 27, 2005
  10. I absolutely would. Doesn't make any difference the timeframe; swing, position, intraday, daily. It will never happen. The Neiderguy won't let his employee "crash & burn" and make a public spectacle of himself.
     
    #350     Nov 27, 2005