POLL: Elliott Wave vs Support & Resistance (which is better?)

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by schizo, Apr 8, 2024.

Which is more accurate when it comes to predicting possible reversals?

  1. Elliott Wave

    21.4%
  2. Support & Resistance

    78.6%
  1. :D:thumbsup:
     
    #21     Apr 10, 2024
    murray t turtle likes this.
  2. I could just be clairvoyant but the waves jump out at me, or I just don't trade it.

    Impulse waves taught me about HSR because it is the only way you can tell them apart from corrective waves.

    Next comes the concept of the pivot, which your diagram shows below as support below a mild corrective wave.

    Next came the insight that wave 3 is usually the one that breaks the pivot, and volume is the clue on the way out. Before this, volume is unusually dry, as no one is getting their limit orderz filled any more on the support, so they start raising them. That causes the "hook" at the end, right before blastoff......
     
    #22     Apr 10, 2024
  3. That's always a plus.
     
    #23     Apr 10, 2024
    schizo likes this.
  4. schizo

    schizo

    Yup, everything looks crystal clear when all is said and done. :)
     
    #24     Apr 10, 2024
    murray t turtle likes this.
  5. The warning sign before collapse is similar to how animals run to higher ground after detecting the low rumble of an off-shore earthquake: the Chop before the Drop

    Livermore called it the "warning sign"

    Basically everything is fine and a huge sell order hits the tape. Things float back up for awhile and it happens again.

    This same event is chronicled over and over in the book (one of the few I still read, related to markets): Manias, Panics and Crashes. Big profits get booked, and then the end comes.
     
    #25     Apr 12, 2024
    countryBoy641 likes this.
  6. You are correct. It is just PHYSICS if you know what to look for.
     
    #26     Apr 12, 2024
  7. #27     Apr 23, 2024
  8. No need to forecast when you can react in real time. Using EW or Fib #'s is as consistently accurate to forecast future price action as a weather person is on any given day forecasting the weeks weather. "Sometimes" doesn't constitute a career path.
     
    #28     Apr 23, 2024
    murray t turtle likes this.
  9. Actually they are pretty accurate with the weather forecast nowadays :)

    Anyway your realtime reactions could all be put together in one swing trade. :)
     
    Last edited: Apr 23, 2024
    #29     Apr 23, 2024
  10. I can react to swing trading environments just like any chart.
    It just has to be constructed correctly. Here is what reacting to a simple daily gold chart accomplished since the beginning of March, per contract and the overnight margin for gold is US$8500.
     
    #30     Apr 23, 2024