Pitfalls of system development.

Discussion in 'Automated Trading' started by MarkBrown, Oct 28, 2017.

  1. MarkBrown

    MarkBrown

    Underlying themes I see repeatedly in the world of automated trading. There are many reasons others I'm sure could add to this basic list, but below are some of the ones I run across on a consistent basis.
    1. There is no perfected predefined expectation of outcome.
    2. Data itself is flawed and full of deception, many details on this.
    3. Markets are often split in half treating up/down moves the same.
    4. Cost of business is often omitted because of unrealistic expectations.
    5. No forethought of catastrophic events and actions to take in event.
    6. One size fits all approaches are far too often the go to aproach.
    7. Needless to say over optimization on too little amounts of data.
     
    d08 likes this.
  2. Simples

    Simples

    Doesn't same pitfalls apply to discretionary trading too, or why wouldn't that be?
     
    bashatrader likes this.
  3. GhostOf144

    GhostOf144

    The biggest problem people have is trying to develop a system without knowing anything about the way markets move, execution, or trading. The numerous books and internet nonsense promote this as though one should develop a system, then learn to trade.

    Cart before the horse...
     
  4. Sprout

    Sprout

    What would you define as workarounds or ways of avoiding/mitigating the pitfalls you've outlined?
     
    MarkBrown likes this.
  5. You can't avoid the inherent dangers that linger in the market. That's partly why it's so difficult to succeed, or succeed fruitfully, trading. If you want safeness, put your money in a savings account generating 0.10% yearly.

    That's like asking...can you guarantee to me that another car won't hit me today when I leave the house and neighborhood. (of course not)

    All automated trading systems and formulas...always reminds me of Long Term Capital Management of the late 90's imploding.

    I hate sounding like a broken record, but...Trading is part art, part science. Facts vs random variables. Happyness and greed vs fear. etc etc
    The market is incredibly complex, it's anything but linear...to predict, and trade and manage the future.
     
    Last edited: Oct 28, 2017
    MarkBrown likes this.
  6. Good article here about backtesting pitfalls. Must read.