Pinkmans' technical analysis journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by pinkman, Aug 17, 2013.

  1. Day 13 = +187

    Was up about $600 at one point, but that non stop ES rally took back most of my gains.

    Winning day at least.

    Still need some good days tomorrow and friday to try to make it a winning week though
     
    #121     Sep 4, 2013
  2. Is this real money or paper money?
     
    #122     Sep 4, 2013
  3. real money.
    Only trading 1 contract most of the time now, and I occasionally place trades with my CFD broker instead of my futures account, but forget about that for the moment.

    Trying to keep size small until I find something that I believe gives a genuine 'edge' (not that I'm even sure that one exists for retail trader after my years of looking)
     
    #123     Sep 5, 2013
  4. good start to the day.

    Bought CL on that break up a few minutes ago for +294
     
    #124     Sep 5, 2013
  5. Not been many more trades for me today.

    Been mainly reading trading material today.

    Currently up on the day. 4 trades. 3 wins. 1 loser so far.

    [​IMG]
     
    #125     Sep 5, 2013
  6. Week 1 = +643

    Week 2 = +927
    -----------------------

    Monday (-$794)

    Tuesday +$400

    Wednesday +187

    Thursday +336

    Need a decent day tomorrow to make it a winning week.
    Need a spectacular day to make it a 'good' winning week
     
    #126     Sep 5, 2013
  7. Redneck

    Redneck


    Let's do some simple math


    This week so far;

    Avg win = $307 & change

    Avg loss = 2X Avg win + $180

    One would need to maintain a >73% winning average just to remain marginally (and I mean barely marginally) profitable

    And a lot of unnecessary digging out as you are aware

    ========================================

    Now let’s assume the Avg loss = the Avg win…

    Wining % would need to be 50% to break even

    Immediate extra 23% profit (as compared to above)

    But.., it gets better

    =======================================

    What if Avg loss was 1/2..., to not more than 3/4 the Avg win


    Things that make one go Hmmmm


    RN
     
    #127     Sep 5, 2013
  8. Redneck

    Redneck

    btw; Being that tomorrow is Friday and the volume likely abysmal

    Better be real damn selective

    RN
     
    #128     Sep 5, 2013
  9. Hi RedNeck,

    Are you talking about having my stops 1/2 as big as my targets on trades? If so, in my experience, small stops increase the odds of being stopped, so I think it's all 'swings and round-a-bouts'

    Or are you talking about the fact that my losing days tend to be bigger than my winning days? I'm not sure how I can control that. Do you mean stop trading for the day when i'm down over $300 or something???
     
    #129     Sep 5, 2013
  10. Redneck

    Redneck

    PM

    How about answering the two questions I asked you a few pages back.., then I'll answer you Sir

    RN
     
    #130     Sep 5, 2013