Personal note

Discussion in 'Options' started by dagnyt, Sep 28, 2009.

  1. falcon

    falcon

    Mark,

    I'm new to options and feeling confused over returns being quoted and would like to get a better understanding of the kinds of returns that can be expected. I have heard and read many varied responses and how credit spreads or iron condors can return anywhere from 5 to 10% each month (50% to 100% each year).

    Then some experienced traders say 3% is very good while others claim much more. How are figures calculated? Is it on risk capital, entire portfolio, maybe on something else ? :confused:

    If someone trades options for a living I figured one would have to be making enough to replace their wage :(

    Any responses to clarify would be greatly appreciated.
     
    #51     Oct 7, 2009
  2. gkishot

    gkishot

    It should be on your account balance.
     
    #52     Oct 7, 2009
  3. dmo

    dmo

    Bernie Madoff claimed relatively modest profits of 1% monthly. But in reality he couldn't produce even that - despite having enough money to hire the world's smartest people.

    Do you really think 5-10% monthly is remotely realistic?
     
    #53     Oct 7, 2009
  4. falcon

    falcon

    'Bernie Madoff claimed relatively modest profits of 1% monthly. But in reality he couldn't produce even that - despite having enough money to hire the world's smartest people.

    Do you really think 5-10% monthly is remotely realistic?'

    No I don't. But then again I would'nt know, that is why I'm asking. I'm starting to get the distinct impression that such a simple question does'nt warrant a straight forward answer. Maybe I'm not meant to really know and the real answer is that no one trades for a living and it's all blogs, books, seminars etc where the money is made.

    I would love to be proven wrong.
     
    #54     Oct 7, 2009
  5. spindr0

    spindr0

    You can't "expect" anything. If I can do 30%, will you be able to do that much? If I lose 10%, does that mean that you will? There's no way to know how good (or bad) you will be until you do it.
     
    #55     Oct 8, 2009
  6. spindr0

    spindr0

    Now if Madoff had taken the advanced Ponzi scheme web seminar, he might have painted his tape better :)
     
    #56     Oct 8, 2009
  7. falcon

    falcon

    'You can't "expect" anything. If I can do 30%, will you be able to do that much? If I lose 10%, does that mean that you will? There's no way to know how good (or bad) you will be until you do it.'

    Ofcourse not. I know what your saying, am just trying to sift through alot of the BS. Will figure out where Im positioned on the totem pole in due time, till then guess i'll have to just wait it out.
     
    #57     Oct 8, 2009
  8. spindr0

    spindr0

    If I traded for 1/10 of one per cent of what Elite Traders make, I'd bail out the US government :)

    Seriously, I'd suggest that you learn not only about the subject at hand but about money management as well. Trade small until you find out what you can achieve and then expand your size gradually. AFAIK, profits will take care of themselves. It's the losses you have to worry about :)

    Good luck.
     
    #58     Oct 8, 2009
  9. Speaking of Bernie, the results are in: Only one half of his "clients" lost money. Do not pass go, do not collect $200, go directly to jail. On the flip side, we all probably could name a few funds where every "investor" lost every last dime. There weren't any survivors and no one went to jail.
     
    #59     Oct 8, 2009
  10. Remotely realistic - NO.

    But is it possible? Yes, there's a very small chance.
     
    #60     Oct 8, 2009