perfect forecast for S&P500

Discussion in 'Trading' started by fortuna, Sep 10, 2003.

  1. fortuna

    fortuna

    Since 4 months, the auto-correlation between current datas and october 1980 (96.19% R2) have been a very good forecaster for SP500.

    While the forecast has well anticipated/replicated the recent up-move, if history repeats itself we should expect a 5% fall to 975 in the next two weeks . A strong rebound will start in mid october bringing the S&P500 to 1085.

    purious correlation or fascinating replication of past events: I let you decide

    I have also 2 interesting correlations for ndx (-15% in the next month) and USD agst DEM up 30% in the next 6 months) :these 2 correlations reinforce forecast for SPX


    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/futuresystem (excel file in last e-mail)
     
  2. fortuna

    fortuna

    sorry for usd dem -17% and not 30% in march 1992 (first irak war: another nice deja vu)
     
  3. Irak = Iraq

    :(

    That way, you can have a lot more CREDIBILITY on this post!
     
  4. fortuna

    fortuna

    well in French it is written Irak.

    Quand le sage montre le ciel du doigt a l'imbecile, l'imbecile regarde le doigt:)
     
  5. vak

    vak

    fortuna :D
     
  6. Frappe ta tête contre une cruche. Si tu obtiens un son creux, n'en déduis pas que c'est forcément la cruche qui est vide.
     
  7. WE ARE IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.

    :p
     
  8. You are wrong. We are in the world wide web:)
     
  9. fortuna

    fortuna

    no you are on the web
     
  10. You guys are lucky you're not in the Pysch forum with the policy of "Excessive use of foreign (non-english) language within posts will result in the deletion of that post."

    :eek:
     
    #10     Sep 10, 2003