Peaks (Crests) and Troughs

Discussion in 'Journals' started by expiated, Nov 22, 2023.

  1. expiated

    expiated

    EURJPYH1.png

    With GBPJPY and GBPUSD you're pretty much looking at the same type of situation as above.
     
    #11     Nov 26, 2023
  2. expiated

    expiated

    USDCADM5.png

    I cashed out of AUDUSD at 0.6594, after which it dropped back down to the 0.6566 level again, then bounce right back up to 0.6594 a second, and even third time, but has yet to break through.

    AUDUSDH1.png

    Oops! The pair broke out above resistance just as I was about to upload this post...

    AUDUSDM5.png

    Even so, my numbers calculate the 0.6600 handle to be quite a significant resistance level. I would therefore "expect" to see this pair pull back for a while before heading higher.
     
    Last edited: Nov 27, 2023
    #12     Nov 27, 2023
  3. expiated

    expiated

    Ditto with respect to AUDJPY...

    Screenshot_7.png

    I'm hoping this pair climbs all the way up to the ceiling for about a $70+ payout.
     
    Last edited: Nov 27, 2023
    #13     Nov 27, 2023
  4. expiated

    expiated

    Screenshot_7.png

    Yeah... the puzzle was indeed pretty much complete except that I added just one additional component since last Friday. You can see how it functions by looking at how I applied it to the AUDJPY position...

    AUDJPYM5.png

    Once the upper or lower band on this envelope of what I call "statistical support/resistance" is hit, I don't expect to see any additional gains, and therefore exit my positions as soon as the gist of price action begins to evidence regression toward the mean/mean reversion.

    Accordingly, rather than remain in the trade, hoping for a possible change in fortune, and also possibly witness a former winner turn into an ultimate loser, I pocketed the available profit when candlesticks were still painting in the neighborhood of 98.36.

    So then, I think I can conclude this short little "study" and continue working with what I've got. (The indicator is generated using only a sampling of data taken at regular intervals in order to conserve memory, hence the "squiggly" lines.)

    Screenshot_7.png
     
    Last edited: Nov 27, 2023
    #14     Nov 27, 2023