1.That is false as Trafalgar predicted Trump would win 2020 yet Biden got 7 million more votes 2.Gallups negative presidential approval rating has predicted with 100% accuracy every House and White House election that a party will lose if their incumbent president had a negative approval rating FOR NEARLY 100 YEARS!!!!
No President went lower than 35% Gallup approval and got back to positive by re election time.Reagan in his 1st term is the only President who went as low as 35% and got back to positive in time for re election Trump will surely break the 35 % point of no return in future Gallup polls.Trump has also never had a positive approval on Gallup.
50% of trumps ratings are just pure hate, nothing to do with his job In 2028 Vance will not have that
Ill also add that while Reagan's Gallup approval hit a 35% low,his disapproval never hit the 58 % that Trump is currently at.No Party has ever won a House or White House election if their incumbent President hit 58% disapproval during their term.
No Party has ever won a White House race when their incumbent president had a negative approval rating, even if they have a new nominee.The Party will be judged by their incumbent President,not the new nominee. Mccain,Harris,Wallace etc never had a chance because of Bush, Biden,Johnson etc.
Same for the House.Dems take the House in 2026 and 2028.Trumps final 2 years will be nonstop House investigations.