Options strategy for high IV CRTX Nov'21

Discussion in 'Options' started by thecoder, Oct 21, 2021.

  1. jamesbp

    jamesbp

    Basic Options stuff
     
    #11     Oct 22, 2021
    BlueWaterSailor likes this.
  2. taowave

    taowave

    Obviously..If he did,LTCM would still be rolling

     
    #12     Oct 23, 2021
    thecoder likes this.
  3. thecoder

    thecoder

    That system has worked fine, it protected against a loss, moreover it looks like it earned even the full credit.
    Aftermarket the spot has fallen to 17.28 (-70.04%) or so, but it is also important to know the new IV's for the 2 strikes as it's important for the PL calc since the option is still valid till Nov 19. Tomorrow we will be able to see the new result better.
    https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CRTX/options?p=CRTX

    This result means the company has not got the FDA approval for its Alzheimer drug product, ie. the study data were not good.
    My condolences to the poor guy(s) Long @ Call strike 185 :)

    See also this analysis of this devastating result for the company:
    https://www.investors.com/news/tech...es-its-mark-but-there-is-a-caveat/?src=A00220
     
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2021
    #13     Oct 26, 2021
  4. taowave

    taowave

    185 calls??? They got off easy..


     
    #14     Oct 26, 2021
  5. thecoder

    thecoder

    True, but OTOH the stock was trading at around $120 or so in early August. Still a long distance from there to 185, but comparable to the downdistance of today's aftermarket. Here's an overview with a small 6-month-chart:

    CRTX_on_2021-10-26-Tu-AfterMarket_D-DAY.png
     
    #15     Oct 26, 2021
  6. thecoder

    thecoder

    For historical research/study here are the Call and Put options of yesterday at market close.
    The ATM IV's are above 500% and have been above 450% for the last weeks :)
    The awaited FDA event (ie. whether the drug will get FDA approval) fell after market close.
    Btw, at the moment of this writing the stock price fluctuates wild around $16.50.

    CRTX_Call_options_Nov-2021_on_2021-10-26-Tu__Big_FDA_event_after_market_close.png CRTX_Put_options_Nov-2021_on_2021-10-26-Tu__Big_FDA_event_after_market_close.png
     
    Last edited: Oct 27, 2021
    #16     Oct 27, 2021
  7. thecoder

    thecoder

    I've just saved also the current options data, ie. interesting to see how the IVs change after such a big event.
    Currently for strike $15 (ie. the nearest strike to ATM) the Call IV is about 191% and the Put IV is about 166%. Compare this to yesterday's data(s) above...
     
    Last edited: Oct 27, 2021
    #17     Oct 27, 2021
  8. D-Day? What is meant by D-Day?
     
    #18     Oct 31, 2021
  9. thecoder

    thecoder

    Decision Day of an event, f.e. the date on which the FDA decides about approval of a new drug candidate etc. It's an important date b/c immediately after the public release of the decision the stock price reacts accordingly due to the increased buy/sell actions in the market...
     
    #19     Oct 31, 2021
    James.DeGori likes this.