Option replication and exotics journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by riskarb, Jul 14, 2005.

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  1. Prevail

    Prevail Guest

    Hi Risk, is this a mechanical system? My congestion system went short yesterday moc.
     
    #631     Jan 5, 2006
  2. Yeah prevail, one of three I use.
     
    #632     Jan 5, 2006
  3. Prevail

    Prevail Guest

    Looks like the cash high was broken but futures, contract adjusted, held.
     
    #633     Jan 5, 2006
  4. On Nikkei? The cash hasn't broken 16,500 since I traded the double barrier.
     
    #634     Jan 5, 2006
  5. I can't get around this. Although I am more familiar with up/down and deficits I can't see how that could apply to touch/tunnels: the closer to the barrier(no touch) the more otm the option, and at a point in time it must be atm; are u saying u see the quote but u are not allowed to enter the trade?
    Can u elaborate further?
     
    #635     Jan 5, 2006
  6. The closer to the barrier the more otm? huh? You cannot trade a no touch that is atm, by definition. Let's see... you trade a no touch on the SPX with a barrier of 1270 with the SPX trading at 1270. Obviously it's not possible. If I need to explain why, then were going nowhere fast.
     
    #636     Jan 5, 2006
  7. On a slightly different note,

    You've really increased the capital at risk with this trade. Are you sizing up for the new year?
     
    #637     Jan 5, 2006
  8. The fund sub-account is trading North of $5mil and there was some fat-gammas associated with this trade. Granted, the Nikkei is on crack right now, but on occasion you've got to be a pig. I think we'll see 16,750 based upon stat- vols, but I feel we'll see some retracement coming. I will be buying 60 lot futures at each new handle.
     
    #638     Jan 5, 2006
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    #639     Jan 5, 2006
  10. Hope you've got it pegged. That would do serious damage to last year's P&L...much less this year's. I assume you are targeting @ 60%+ hedged into the barrier as usual? I don't follow the Japanese markets so I have no idea what the ratios are.
     
    #640     Jan 5, 2006
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