I was wondering what you guys have noticed regarding the following situation. * You have done a backtest and you have noticed that if you use JUST rule1 you get a profit factor of 1.2 going long. * You also notice that if you use JUST rule2 you get a profit factor of 1.2 also going long Generally Speaking if you ONLY allow trades when Rule1 and Rule2 are BOTH present your profit factor when going long... A) will be > 1.2 B) will be < 1.2 C) no relationship
the question was asked to see if a principle is true or not, thank you for your advice on backtesting the following Rule1 and Rule2, but I was hoping to make a conclusion w/ a sample size > 1. ~hence that is why I proposed the ?
Art Collins runs a thread here ( http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=83627&highlight=odds+czar ) and wrote a book (http://www.amazon.com/Beating-Financial-Futures-Market-Strategies/dp/0470038659/ ) based on the same premise. You might want to check it out.
Are these different systems? If they are then you should look for the lowest correlation possible, which would be C. There is much to consider when evaluating a system. Profit factor alone is insufficient. You also need to know the win % and opportunity (trade frequency). Nizar.
Why bother with a strat with a profit factor < 2 ? Exception: high frequency system (20+ trades per day)
I would encourage people to totally disregard this statement as it is completely fallacious. I'm not going to get into a long-winded discussion about system statistics as it's been done too many times on these forums, but suffice it to say one could be missing out on many extremely profitable strategies by following the advice above. Myself and many others I know earn a living trading strategies with profit factors less than 2.0 that don't trade more than once a day.