dears fellows traders, I may really need your help soon. This morning my newspaper went completely crazy about global warning and COP15, I mean it's not normal propaganda it's hardcore. I am shaking writing it. on 44 pages they are 23 FULL pages on the subject... The Edito starts at 99% of the scientific agree there is a imment danger... the 4th phrases nly a few DISSIDENT of the science disagree... I am not a dissident ! I am a human being who think through different data input and get different ouput. It's doesn't make me a dissident. Next word after dissident is... Terrorist. However as it's old school now, they will need a new word... I don't know it ( or maybe climatedenier... like holocaust denier... no... something new! ). I know now that IRON MONTAIN REPORT is true... A society needs an enemy from outside not to collapse... that's what they think! They think that humans are like animals...Wrong we love, we cry, we are sad, we laught... Moreover the market is smarter than anything... let'us FREE...
The following was what I noted last December... At last December's U.N. Global Warming conference in Poznan, Poland, 650 of the world's top climatologists stood up and said man-made global warming is a media generated myth without basis. Said climatologist Dr. David Gee, Chairman of the International Geological Congress, "For how many years must the planet cool before we begin to understand that the planet is not warming?" full article here... http://www.mlive.com/opinion/flint/index.ssf/2009/01/its_time_to_pray_for_global_wa. Mrs Clinton and the Green Security Threat (Jan13th) In opening remarks at her confirmation hearing on Jan. 13, President-elect Barack Obamaâs Secretary of State designate Hillary Clinton told the Senate Foreign Relations committee she would use the office to shape foreign policy that would fight climate change âYou Mr. Chairman [Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass.] were among the very first in a growing chorus from both parties to recognize that climate change is an unambiguous security threat,â âPresident-elect Obama has said America must be a leader in developing and implementing a global and coordinated response to climate change,â Clinton said. âWe will participate in the upcoming Copenhagen climate conference and a global energy forum. And weâll pursue an energy policy that reduces our carbon emissions while reducing our dependence on foreign oil and gas, fighting climate change and enhancing our economic and energy security.â Guys here's my take: Watch the enforcement of Green Earth Politics through severe taxes that penalize corporations and individuals without mercy. Obama's Climate Czar 12 Jan 09 â Until last week, Obama's pick as global warming czar, Carol Browner, was listed as one of 14 leaders of a socialist group's Commission for a Sustainable World Society, which calls for "global governance" and says rich countries must shrink their economies to address climate change. By Thursday, Mrs. Browner's name and biography had been removed from Socialist International's Web page, though a photo of her speaking June 30 to the group's congress in Greece was still available. The group's Commission for a Sustainable World Society, the organization's action arm on climate change, says the developed world must reduce consumption and commit to binding and punitive limits on greenhouse gas emissions. Mr. Obama, who has said action on climate change would be a priority in his administration, tapped Mrs. Browner last month to fill a new position as White House coordinator of climate and energy policies. The appointment does not need Senate confirmation.
The point about equilibrium is simply not true. The earth is never at thermal equilibrium (obviously - if it were we would have no changing weather, no rain, no wind etc). The weather system of the earth is highly non-linear and has so called sensitive dependence on initial conditions, i.e. it is what is popularly called chaotic. You can actually rigorously prove that there are no stable critical points, i.e. there can be no equilibrium (as long as the sun is still shining at least). Instead, the weather system is chaotic everywhere. In theory there could potentially be so called attractors that would keep the climate relatively stable, but no such attractors have been shown to exist, as far as I know. Instead, it is hard to find any time scale over which the climate has been approximately stable. The equilibrium assumptions in simlistic climate models are not physical. Now, it is true that CO2 is a greenhouse gas, but it is also true that it is a relatively weak greenhouse gas. The debate is over the positive (and negative) feedback loops that supposedly exist. The historical climate seems to indicate that the negative feedbacks dominate. That is one of the reasons that so much energy has gone into re-interpreting the climate history by the climate alarmists. The dominance of positive feedbacks has been mostly postulated and built into model assumptions which have then been calibrated with weather station data from the last century or so. That obviously gives a very good fit for the calibration period, but they utterly fail in out-of-sample tests. I know of no predictions that the models have made that have been both correct and statistically significant. There are lots of cases of statistically significant failed predictions and failed tests on out-of-sample data, though. The climate models show every characteristic of being curve-fit.
reading what you say I realized that Algo's and co developpers know totally abound this kind of data and how to analyse them... That could be one of the greatest Press Operation to protect the market forever...
This is what I believe will be the lead into a global trader tax... Recently, the first president of the European Union, Herman Van Rompuy, affirmed in a speech captured by the BBC his belief that "2009 is the first year of global governance with the establishment of the G20 in the middle of the financial crisis. The climate conference in Copenhagen is another step toward the global management of our planet." Lord Christopher Monckton, a former science adviser to British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, asserts the real purpose of the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen Dec. 7-18 is to use concern over "global warming" as a pretext to lay the foundation for a one-world government. At the U.N. Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen "a treaty will be signed," Monckton told a Minnesota Free Market Institute audience at Bethel University in St. Paul. "Your president will sign it," he said. "Most of the Third World countries will sign it, because they think they're going to get money out of it. Most of the left-wing regimes from the European Union will rubber-stamp it. Virtually nobody won't sign it." He has warned the proposal would cede U.S. sovereignty, mandate a massive wealth transfer from the United States to pay reparations for "climate debt" to Third World countries and create a new "world government" to enforce the treaty's provisions.
WHAT A BLOODY MESS... Australian weather records for an international database on climate change were a "bloody mess", riddled with entry errors, duplication and inaccuracies, leaked British computer files reveal. The Herald found the criticism in a 247-page specialist programmer's log, unearthed among the thousands of files hacked from East Anglia University, which is at the centre of a climate change email scandal. Labelled "HARRY-READ-ME", the log catalogues problems with the raw, historical climate data sent from hundreds of meteorological stations around the world. The Australian data comes in for particular criticism as the programmer discovers World Meteorological Organisation codes are missing, station names overlap and many co-ordinates are incorrect. At one point the programmer writes about his attempts to make sense of the data. "What a bloody mess," he concludes. In another case, 30 years of data is attributed to a site at Cobar Airport but the frustrated programmer writes: "Now looking at the dates. something bad has happened ... COBAR AIRPORT AWS [automatic weather station] cannot start in 1962, it didn't open until 1993!" In another he says: "Getting seriously fed up with the state of the Australian data ... so many false references ... so many changes ... bewildering." The log spans four years of work at the university's Climatic Research Unit, the British keeper of global temperature records. The programmer rails that the information has "no uniform integrity". His criticisms relate solely to the construction of the database and do not question the validity of historical temperature records or analyses that suggest the impact of human activity on global warming trends. "I am very sorry to report that the rest of the databases seem to be in nearly as poor a state as Australia was. More... http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-email-mess-hits-australia-20091204-kb39.html
Take an NBA regulation basketball and imagine it is the Earth. Put a 8x11 piece of paper on the basketball: that is our atmosphere. Very thin. We cannot continue to put CO2 and other GHG into the atmosphere while at the same time destroying the forests that 'eat' CO2. There is absolutely no evidience that the Earth is cooling. For the last 50 years thousands of scientists have put in millions of man-hours measuring the atmosphere, tracking temperatures, analyzing ice cores and ground cores and doing Science knows what else. The conclusions are damn near universal at 99.99% that the earth is getting warmer, very quickly, and man is the cause of the situation. The cause of the current ongoing 6th mass destruction. Now you can listen to these Scientists or you can listen to Limbaugh & Beck, who probably couldn't translate Fereinheit to Celcius, and industry CEO's whose livlihoods depend on fighting environmental initiatives. The average American has a very strong dislike of science, intelltuals, experts, and FACTS and that is why we see this issue dismissed by a large section of the country. In the end it will not matter. We will not take the necessary steps to halt environmental decay because we will not take steps to reduce population growth or consumption. We'll stumble on down the road as a species until one day we'll simply fade away with a whimper.
Yeah...and they revealed to the world that they are stupid dick heads who don't give a shit about 'science'. The argument is OVER.
Rangebar, I take it you have not read about more than 700 scientists who say things like... âI am a skepticâ¦Global warming has become a new religion.â - Nobel Prize Winner for Physics, Ivar Giaever. âSince I am no longer affiliated with any organization nor receiving any funding, I can speak quite franklyâ¦.As a scientist I remain skeptical.â - Atmospheric Scientist Dr. Joanne Simpson, the first woman in the world to receive a PhD in meteorology and formerly of NASA who has authored more than 190 studies and has been called âamong the most preeminent scientists of the last 100 years.â Warming fears are the âworst scientific scandal in the historyâ¦When people come to know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.â - UN IPCC Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itoh, an award-winning PhD environmental physical chemist. âThe IPCC has actually become a closed circuit; it doesnât listen to others. It doesnât have open minds⦠I am really amazed that the Nobel Peace Prize has been given on scientifically incorrect conclusions by people who are not geologists,â - Indian geologist Dr. Arun D. Ahluwalia at Punjab University and a board member of the UN-supported International Year of the Planet. âThe models and forecasts of the UN IPCC "are incorrect because they only are based on mathematical models and presented results at scenarios that do not include, for example, solar activity.â - Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, a researcher at the Institute of Geophysics of the National Autonomous University of Mexico âIt is a blatant lie put forth in the media that makes it seem there is only a fringe of scientists who donât buy into anthropogenic global warming.â - U.S Government Atmospheric Scientist Stanley B. Goldenberg of the Hurricane Research Division of NOAA. âEven doubling or tripling the amount of carbon dioxide will virtually have little impact, as water vapour and water condensed on particles as clouds dominate the worldwide scene and always will.â â . Geoffrey G. Duffy, a professor in the Department of Chemical and Materials Engineering of the University of Auckland, NZ. âAfter reading [UN IPCC chairman] Pachauri's asinine comment [comparing skeptics to] Flat Earthers, it's hard to remain quiet.â - Climate statistician Dr. William M. Briggs, who specializes in the statistics of forecast evaluation, serves on the American Meteorological Society's Probability and Statistics Committee and is an Associate Editor of Monthly Weather Review. âFor how many years must the planet cool before we begin to understand that the planet is not warming? For how many years must cooling go on?" - Geologist Dr. David Gee the chairman of the science committee of the 2008 International Geological Congress who has authored 130 plus peer reviewed papers, and is currently at Uppsala University in Sweden. âGore prompted me to start delving into the science again and I quickly found myself solidly in the skeptic campâ¦Climate models can at best be useful for explaining climate changes after the fact.â - Meteorologist Hajo Smit of Holland, who reversed his belief in man-made warming to become a skeptic, is a former member of the Dutch UN IPCC committee. âMany [scientists] are now searching for a way to back out quietly (from promoting warming fears), without having their professional careers ruined.â - Atmospheric physicist James A. Peden, formerly of the Space Research and Coordination Center in Pittsburgh. âCreating an ideology pegged to carbon dioxide is a dangerous nonsenseâ¦The present alarm on climate change is an instrument of social control, a pretext for major businesses and political battle. It became an ideology, which is concerning.â - Environmental Scientist Professor Delgado Domingos of Portugal, the founder of the Numerical Weather Forecast group, has more than 150 published articles. âCO2 emissions make absolutely no difference one way or anotherâ¦.Every scientist knows this, but it doesnât pay to say soâ¦Global warming, as a political vehicle, keeps Europeans in the driverâs seat and developing nations walking barefoot.â - Dr. Takeda Kunihiko, vice-chancellor of the Institute of Science and Technology Research at Chubu University in Japan. âThe [global warming] scaremongering has its justification in the fact that it is something that generates funds.â - Award-winning Paleontologist Dr. Eduardo Tonni, of the Committee for Scientific Research in Buenos Aires and head of the Paleontology Department at the University of La Plata. # # In addition, the report will feature new peer-reviewed scientific studies and analyses refuting man-made warming fears and a heavy dose of inconvenient climate developments. (See Below: Study: Half of warming due to Sun! âSea Levels Fail to Rise? - Warming Fears in 'Dustbin of History') The Senate Minority Report is an update of 2007âs blockbuster U.S. Senate Minority Report of over 400 dissenting scientists. See here: This new report will contain the names, quotes and analyses of literally hundreds of additional international scientists who publicly dissented from man-made climate fears in just 2008 alone. The chorus of scientific voices skeptical grow louder as a steady stream of peer-reviewed studies, analyses and real world data challenge the UN and former Vice President Al Gore's claims that the "science is settled" and there is a "consensus." Meanwhile, while the UN climate conference is in session here in Poznan, the bad scientific news for promoters of man-made climate alarm just keeps rolling in. Below is a very small sampling of very inconvenient developments for Gore, the United Nations, and their promoters in the mainstream media. Peer-reviewed studies, analyses, and prominent scientists continue to speak out to refute climate fears. The data presented below is just from the past week. http://epw.senate.gov/public/index....ecord_id=2158072E-802A-23AD-45F0-274616DB87E6
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