one-offs

Discussion in 'Journals' started by destriero, Nov 10, 2023.

  1. .sigma

    .sigma

    This guy makes elitetrader worth visiting
     
    #51     Dec 5, 2023
    Adam777 likes this.
  2. mayura

    mayura

    What is fly risk reversal? When you use RR do you mean Risk-Reward or Risk reversal?
     
    #52     Dec 7, 2023
  3. destriero

    destriero

    Do no harm.
     
    #53     Dec 31, 2023
    Overnight likes this.
  4. destriero

    destriero


    (naked) OTM puts are the revenue side of the risk reversal.

    upside (local) OTM bull spreads are the revenue side of the risk reversal.

    A fly risk-reversal is the best practice integer-skew figure.
     
    #54     Dec 31, 2023
  5. destriero

    destriero

    No fake stresses with hidden positions. No index positions masquerading as single-name beta. Sell side guy in chat who made $550K in three days on $200K in TIMS-req.

    Whoops. When blowing yourself goes wrong (twitter pic):
     
    Last edited: Dec 31, 2023
    #55     Dec 31, 2023
  6. destriero

    destriero

    Do not fall for scam stresses. This @guru guy is guilty of manipulating:

    1) Hidden positions. Shows SN-beta when the hidden position is index with vol-boosted.

    2) Shows 0 vol-stress but the legs have boosted vols while the locks are not displayed.

    3) Global position vol-boost.

    4) Increases RFR% to a ridiculous figure thereby boosting call values on complex cs/increase the fwd. Truncates the image to hide risk-free rate level.

    There are many scams which the uninitiated will not pick up on when someone is intent on defrauding you. I will post examples that @guru has used to dupe noobs in vol. Well, other noobs.

    [​IMG]
     
    #56     Dec 31, 2023
  7. destriero

    destriero

    upload_2023-12-31_15-6-4.png

    upload_2023-12-31_15-7-23.png


    The two trades shown in this post are identical other than 1000 beeps added in the RFR (5.5 nominal to 15.5). @guru did the same in the image that I've posted above in post #56.

    He narrows the image so that the rate input is not shown.

    F*cking loser. He's going to have the mods delete all but his scam posts. Do not feed the scammers.
     
    #57     Dec 31, 2023
  8. destriero

    destriero

    He hides the risk free rate which can massively leverage the PNL at the trough and throughout the stress.
     
    #58     Dec 31, 2023
  9. destriero

    destriero

    This is not pride of authorship. He's been pulling this shit for years on Twitter and beyond. The TSLA beta stress being the most blatant.
     
    #59     Dec 31, 2023
  10. destriero

    destriero

    The upside to the melee? I think I've shown every method that fintwit (not guru) scammers can manipulate the stress for public consumption. Don't believe what you see unless all inputs are shown (padlocks, RFR, global vols, leg-vols, toggled and hidden positions, etc).

    (I think) I've apologized to @guru as I need to be less rigid when discussing structural arbs and be less accusatory. No, that could not have been a TSLA position and I have recall on these positions in SN as they are so rare in occurrence. So I take it seriously. Anyway, not belaboring it any further.

    Any work on stickiness (delta v strike) needs to be based on a risk reversal figure and obv will involve index vol, exclusively. You can force yourself into a risk position on spec (trend model applied to SN) but generally there will be better positions than the SL (switch structure) in SN.
     
    #60     Jan 1, 2024