What do you gotta say with the COVID crash back again? Lucky it worked out well coz usually these co-incidences are a once or twice thing. Can’t depend on being lucky with them in each and every trade.
What type of debt? I don’t think debt is a real thing. A real factor I mean. Debt is just the mathematical movement of money .. money is created out of debt. It’s like being short gamma and long theta. Idk, the world already knows the debt is unreachable, how could that cause a crash?
A cycle, mostly public debt. Ray Dalio talks about it in new world order and market cycles write up. Soon or later, when data will satisfy central banks, even interest rate should come back up, and with that we could see a correction. It's true that we got adjusted to infinity supply of money, but things could change fast, even politically.
sorry but I have no clue what you said here yes Of course, interest rates rising would probably collapse a ton of agencies instantly. That’s why the Fed is selling that forever put. You say rates must rise, I say why? Lol
My guess is that inflation could one day hit badly everywhere and that normally calls for hikes, or even a bond market crash.
The Covid "crash" was highly telegraphed - 1 month leading into it. Let's not make it out to be an exogenous event where there were no exits to be found.